Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play-in - Final

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	Disney+
Brazil	23:00	Disney+
Canada	22:00	OneSoccer
Chile	23:00	Disney+
Colombia	21:00	Disney+
Mexico	20:00	FOX One
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	21:00	Disney+
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Usa	22:00	Concacaf GO, Paramount+
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+


	Alianza San Miguel		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.10	2.20
	2.75	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.91	3.2	2.52
	2.94	3.6	2.21	Watch
	2.85	2.8	2.45
	2.71	3.41	2.46	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.16)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	2.36 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza San Miguel
32.4%

Draw
28.7%

CD Marathón
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.4%

29.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Alianza San Miguel - CD Marathón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gonzalez M. (G) 29. Hernandez E. 3. Sibrian J. 23. Monteagudo J. 19. Rodriguez Arias N. A. 14. Parra W. 6. Orellana N. (C) 8. Osorio H. 10. Menjivar L. 7. Mier M. 56. Romero D.	1. Rougier J. (G) 16. Agurcia S. 4. Rivera J. 2. Figueroa H. (C) 19. Aguilera J. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A. 22. Argueta C. 10. Ramirez D. 9. Farioli B. 29. Perez C. 11. Messiniti N.
Substitutes
24. Aguirre M. 17. Castillo F. 31. Franco D. (G) 41. Guardado Ardon E. R. 9. Gustavo Souza 20. Henriquez A. 1. Joya M. (G) 11. Portillo J. 30. Rivas Linares E. A. 26. Rivera N. 16. Romero H. 45. Tobar L.	14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 3. Bodden K. 20. Bueso J. 7. Castillo I. 77. Elis A. 31. Juarez H. (G) 12. Mejia Y. 21. Ramos O. 34. Vargas N.
Coaches
Vazquez D.	Rudman S. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Ramirez D. 🟨,
19', Argueta C. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
38', Monteagudo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Romero D. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
59', Orellana N. ↓, Romero H. ↑,
59', Hernandez E. ↓, Rivera N. ↑,
67', Rodriguez Arias N. A. ↓, Gustavo Souza ↑,
74', Sorto Caballero T. A. 🟨,
81', Osorio H. ↓, Tobar L. ↑,
81', Perez C. ↓, Bodden K. ↑,
85', Messiniti N. ↓, Vargas N. ↑,
88', Castillo F. 🟨,
90', Farioli B. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Marathón is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Alianza has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
24.10.26	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.10.26	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	2:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
17.10.26	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Alianza San Miguel - Inter Santa Tecla	2:2 ✺
08.10.26	CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTTL
- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.10.26	Atlético Independiente - CD Marathón	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.10.26	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	2:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.10.26	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.10.26	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	2:1
19.08.26	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	0:1
27.08.24	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	1:0

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