Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.35	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.41	3.11	3.05
	2.4	3.16	3.02	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.48	3.25	2.79	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.04)	3.18 ↓ (3.36)	2.97 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
39.4%

Draw
29.2%

Atlético Grau
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

27.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's form might have worsened.

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Universidad: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Universidad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ynamine P. (G) 26. Iraola G. 6. Ibarguen J. 33. Otavio Gut 14. Guevara B. 21. Aoki A. 7. Espinoza Vega F. E. 38. Sernaque J. (C) 10. Oliva E. 22. Campodonico R. 17. Mena Y.	1. Alvarez P. (G) 26. Flores A. 27. Tapia R. 13. Franco D. 6. Rodas E. 15. Rostaing J. 8. Soto D. 5. Guarderas R. 99. Ruidiaz R. 7. Garro J. 11. Bandiera N.
Substitutes
29. Escobar J. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 16. Fernandez A. . Leguia F. 8. Lliuya M. 28. Perleche A. 15. Ramirez N. 50. Ramos C. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O.	14. Bolivar J. 2. Cavagna F. . F. Rojas 12. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia B. 22. Herrera Joel 17. Reyes J. 28. Solis A. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Cominges P.	Comizzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Flores A. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
63', Aoki A. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
63', Oliva E. ↓, Lliuya M. ↑,
70', Ramos C. 🟨,
76', Garro J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑,
80', Espinoza Vega F. E. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
80', Mena Y. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
87', Sernaque J. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
90+3', Bandiera N. ↓, Solis A. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 10).

Alianza Universidad is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Grau: Olivares C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Escobar J. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1
12.04.25	Cienciano - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Los Chankas - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTL
- Atlético Grau
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.25	Grêmio - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.25	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Atlético Grau - Godoy Cruz	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
27.03.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
10.03.25	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.11.20	Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:1
27.08.20	Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:1

Upcoming Matches