The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cienciano 59.8%
Draw 22.4%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
27.2%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
26.6%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Universidad de Huánuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Cienciano - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
29. Barrios I. (G) 7. Estrada J. 4. Amondarain M. 2. Ortiz D. 3. Gomez A. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 9. Romagnoli J. 20. Benites Vargas L. E. 25. Gentile G. 21. Garces C.
1. Ynamine P. (G) 26. Iraola G. 6. Ibarguen J. 33. Otavio Gut 14. Guevara B. 18. Fernandez A. 7. Espinoza Vega F. E. 10. Oliva E. 38. Sernaque J. (C) 22. Campodonico R. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
19. Ascues A. 24. Bolado J. (G) 30. Da Silva B. 11. La Torre D. 22. Neira C. 17. Noronha O. 26. Palomino R. 55. Ramua A. 70. Valoyes J.
3. Ampuero A. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 8. Lliuya M. 19. Mendieta J. 9. Pereira G. 28. Perleche A. 15. Ramirez N. 50. Ramos C. 16. Tapia R.
Coaches
Diaz C.
Cominges P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Garces C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
51', Espinoza Vega F. E. 🟨,
51', Gomez A. 🟨,
63', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
63', Gentile G. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
66', Fernandez A. ↓, Tapia R. ↑,
66', Iraola G. ↓, Perleche A. ↑,
66', Mena Y. 🟨,
72', Romagnoli J. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
75', Oliva E. ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
75', Mena Y. ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
77', Bolado J. 🟥,
84', 0 - 1, Sernaque J. ⚽, Campodonico R. (A),
86', Torrejon C. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
86', Guevara B. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
90+8', Ynamine P. 🟨,
90+9', Estrada J. 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 1.
Recent matches Cienciano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alianza Universidad has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cienciano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Cienciano is a favorite.
There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Vasquez Ortega E. O.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Cienciano: Ibanez P.
(Injury)
Ortiz J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Ynamine P.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Cienciano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).