Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco)

Referee: Hibert Villegas (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play


	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.25	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.35	3.11
	2.2	3.42	3.13	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3
	2.21	3.72	3.12	Watch
	2.25	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.67)	3.43 ↓ (3.49)	3.04 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
42.1%

Draw
27.2%

Deportivo Garcilaso
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's performance.

Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 26. Iraola G. 33. Otavio Gut 50. Ramos C. (C) 14. Guevara B. 21. Aoki A. 10. Oliva E. 20. Gomez R. 7. Espinoza Vega F. E. 22. Campodonico R. 17. Mena Y.	1. Zubczuk P. (G) 55. Canales E. 16. Beltran C. (C) 14. Gariglio I. 18. Nunez O. 11. Erustes P. 5. Garcia C. 8. Gomez N. 10. Sandoval K. 19. Naya E. 9. Ugarriza A.
Substitutes
3. Ampuero A. 12. Figueroa E. (G) 32. Leguia F. 8. Lliuya M. 19. Mendieta J. 9. Pereira G. 28. Perleche A. 38. Sernaque J. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O.	31. Barbieri J. (G) 7. Bazan J. 26. Celi Y. 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 13. Lojas J. 23. Moreno X. 25. Paucar E. 22. Rodriguez A. 2. Salazar A.
Coaches
Cominges P.	Duro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Gomez R. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Espinoza Vega F. E. ↓, Leguia F. ↑,
62', Oliva E. ↓, Lliuya M. ↑,
69', Naya E. 🟨,
70', Ugarriza A. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
81', Ramos C. ↓, Ampuero A. ↑,
81', Aoki A. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
83', Sandoval K. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
89', Naya E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
89', Gariglio I. 🟨,
90+4', Beltran C. 🟥,

Preview

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Erustes P. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1
02.03.25	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	4:0 ✺
23.02.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADT Tarma	2:3 ✺
17.02.25	Ayacucho - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sporting Cristal	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
13.10.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
28.02.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWTT

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