Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco)

Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.65
	2.45	3.25	2.75
	2.57	3.3	2.69
	6.26	3.83	1.54	Watch
	2.5	3.28	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.31)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)	2.53 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
31.7%

Draw
29.4%

Cienciano
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.8%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's form might have worsened.

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cienciano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cienciano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cienciano will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Universidad: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Alianza Universidad (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Universidad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 26. Iraola G. 66. Fuentes P. 33. Otavio Gut 3. Ampuero A. 7. Gomez A. 22. Campodonico R. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 8. Lliuya M. 29. Escobar J. 17. Mena Y. (C)	29. Barrios I. (G) 70. Valoyes J. 6. Galeano L. 4. Amondarain M. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 8. Gonzalez A. 22. Neira C. 13. Hohberg A. 30. Da Silva B. 21. Garces C.
Substitutes
88. Aubert E. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 14. Guevara B. 6. Ibarguen J. 19. Mendieta J. 28. Perleche A. 15. Ramirez N. 38. Sernaque J. 1. Ynamine P. (G)	39. Aguirre G. 24. Bolado J. (G) 17. Noronha O. 2. Ortiz D. 27. Ortiz J. 26. Palomino R. 55. Ramua A. 99. Sandoval R. 77. Souza Espana C.
Coaches
Mosquera R.	Desio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Campodonico R. 🟨,
26', Galeano L. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Da Silva B. ⚽,
42', Gomez A. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Neira C. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
45+1', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Campodonico R. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
54', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Aubert E. ↑,
57', Lliuya M. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
63', Escobar J. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
63', Gomez A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
72', Hohberg A. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
72', Da Silva B. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Valoyes J. ⚽, Neira C. (A),
80', Neira C. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
81', Galeano L. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
87', Ramirez N. 🟨,
87', Fuentes P. 🟥,
90', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2.

Alianza Universidad is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cienciano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1
30.08.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:1 ✺
05.08.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWTLW
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
24.08.25	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.25	Cienciano - Bolívar	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Bolívar - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
08.08.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
04.08.25	Cienciano - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
12.04.25	Cienciano - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1
17.10.21	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cienciano	1:1
23.11.20	Cienciano - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:0
24.02.20	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cienciano	1:0
Peruvian Liga 2
11.12.18	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cienciano	1:1
13.11.16	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cienciano	0:0
24.07.16	Cienciano - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:0

Upcoming Matches