The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 43.6%
Draw 28.4%
Sport Boys 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
25.1%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
24.1%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's form might have worsened.
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Boys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sport Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ynamine P. (G) 22. Campodonico R. 66. Fuentes P. 33. Otavio Gut 3. Ampuero A. 5. Ascues C. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 8. Lliuya M. 29. Escobar J. 17. Mena Y. (C)
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 26. Riojas H. 5. Colombo R. 20. Almiron M. 6. Saba E. 31. Carbajal C. 7. Lopez C. 24. Mora O. 8. Da C. H. (C) 77. Martinez F. 11. Urruti L.
Substitutes
88. Aubert E. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 14. Guevara B. 6. Ibarguen J. 26. Iraola G. 19. Mendieta J. 15. Ramirez N. 24. Saffadi D. 38. Sernaque J.
99. Alarcon J. 35. Alvarado D. 88. Franco E. (G) 23. Gonzales J. 13. Roca F. 18. Rodriguez G. 25. Salazar R.
Coaches
Mosquera R.
Cabanillas J. C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Urruti L. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
15', Martinez F. 🟨,
16', 0 - 2, Lopez C. ⚽, Carbajal C. (A),
38', Saba E. 🟨,
42', Otavio Gut 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Aubert E. ↑,
65', Escobar J. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
66', Ampuero A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
66', Martinez F. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
68', Almiron M. 🟨,
70', Saba E. ↓, Salazar R. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Salazar R. (Own goal),
78', Urruti L. 🟨,
90+1', Lopez C. ↓, Alvarado D. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Mena Y. (Pen),
90+10', Aubert E. 🟨,
90+15', 2 - 3, Alarcon J. (Pen),
90+16', Alarcon J. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 3.
Recent performances by Alianza Universidad have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sport Boys's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sport Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alianza Universidad is the team to beat.
There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sport Boys: Nequecaur L.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
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Ynamine P. (G) 
Otavio Gut 
Vasquez Ortega E. O. 
Escobar J. 
Colombo R. 
Almiron M. 
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