The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Grau 65.6%
Draw 22.1%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
25.3%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
27.9%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Universidad de Huánuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions
Users Predictions:
Atlético Grau will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Grau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (C) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 13. Franco D. 14. Bolivar J. 8. Soto D. 5. Guarderas R. 7. Garro J. 10. de la Cruz P. 11. Bandiera N. 99. Ruidiaz R.
1. Ynamine P. (G) 28. Perleche A. 66. Fuentes P. 6. Ibarguen J. 7. Gomez A. 33. Otavio Gut 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 88. Aubert E. 8. Lliuya M. 29. Escobar J. 17. Mena Y. (C)
Substitutes
2. Cavagna F. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia B. 17. Reyes J. 6. Rodas E. 33. Ruidiaz Y. 9. Sandoval T. 18. Trelles A. 20. Vasquez A.
3. Ampuero A. 23. Barco J. 22. Campodonico R. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 30. Duran J. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 19. Mendieta J. 24. Saffadi D. 38. Sernaque J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Bolivar J. ⚽, Guarderas R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ibarguen J. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
46', Escobar J. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
60', Garro J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
66', Gomez A. 🟨,
70', Gomez A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
70', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Barco J. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, de la Cruz P. ⚽, Ruidiaz R. (A),
83', Duran J. ↓, Saffadi D. ↑,
85', Bolivar J. 🟨,
86', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
87', de la Cruz P. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
87', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
90+2', Bolivar J. ↓, Trelles A. ↑,
90+4', Perleche A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
Grau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alianza Universidad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza Universidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Grau is seen as the favorite.
There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).