The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 64.1%
Draw 22.6%
Deportivo La Equidad 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
25.2%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
20%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). La Equidad will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wallens J. (G) 22. Suarez K. 6. Figueroa J. 18. Garcia J. (C) 60. Rosales Y. 24. Manjarres R. 7. Castillo J. 8. Munoz J. 33. Fernandez W. 29. Torres E. 32. Lucumi C.
32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 2. Vivas C. 4. Rodas M. (C) 17. Chaverra F. 5. Masllorens J. 15. Quinones D. 31. Julio R. 8. Monaco M. 11. Gonzalez F. 9. Valencia J.
Substitutes
11. Aponza Cantonil S. A. 77. Del Valle A. 99. Gil M. 21. Mosquera F. 10. Munoz J. 4. Perez E. 19. Perez L. 13. Simancas A. (G) 30. Valoyes J.
13. Abonia Y. 24. Banguero E. 23. Castilla J. 14. Colorado J. 6. Copete D. 10. Mayo S. 7. Micolta Piedahita J. 12. Palacio S. (G) 29. Santamaria M.
Coaches
Bodhert H.
Gomez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Chaverra F. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
30', Julio R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Julio R. ↓, Abonia Y. ↑,
46', Masllorens J. ↓, Colorado J. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Torres E. ⚽, Fernandez W. (A),
54', Lucumi C. 🟨,
64', Monaco M. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
66', Valencia J. 🟥,
72', Fernandez W. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
72', Manjarres R. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
72', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
77', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
77', Gil M. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
77', Suarez K. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
83', Torres E. 🟨,
84', Torres E. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
84', Gonzalez F. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
La Equidad is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Alianza is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
Colombia
Usa
Watch
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Wallens J. (G) 
Fernandez W. 
Vivas C. 
Masllorens J. 
Monaco M. 
Gil M. 
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