Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Alianza Valledupar		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.35	4.15
	1.84	3.39	4.63
	1.79	3.35	4.68	Watch
	1.9	3.34	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.88)	3.35 ↑ (3.32)	4.5 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
51%

Draw
28.1%

Llaneros SA
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.3%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

27.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA Predictions

Users Predictions: Alianza Valledupar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alianza Valledupar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chaverra J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 5. Franco P. (C) 3. Moreno K. 22. Suarez K. 24. Manjarres R. 7. Castillo J. 8. Munoz J. 33. Fernandez W. 29. Torres E. 32. Lucumi C.	1. Ortega M. (G) 31. Montes G. 5. Restrepo E. 26. Angulo J. 16. Escobar Salcedo J. 20. Meza F. 10. Uruena B. 8. Lopez A. 19. Mantilla D. 18. Angulo 24. Bodencer E.
Substitutes
11. Aponza Cantonil S. A. 6. Figueroa J. 99. Gil M. 21. Mosquera F. 25. Perez Balcazar J. E. 19. Perez L. 16. Saldana L. 30. Valoyes J. 1. Wallens J. (G)	70. Goez Y. 23. Mina Chara J. E. 7. Miranda L. 4. Mojica A. 30. Ospina N. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G)
Coaches
Bodhert H.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Torres E. ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
16', Lopez A. 🟥,
33', 2 - 0, Lucumi C. ⚽, Suarez K. (A),
39', Montes G. ↓, Mina Chara J. E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bodencer E. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
46', Mina Chara J. E. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Angulo ⚽, Mantilla D. (A),
67', Benitez B. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
72', Fernandez W. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
72', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
75', Mantilla D. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
75', Restrepo E. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
81', Lucumi C. 🟨,
82', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
84', Goez Y. 🟨,
85', Franco P. 🟨,
89', 3 - 1, Gil M. ⚽, Manjarres R. (A),
90+2', Munoz J. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
90+2', Suarez K. ↓, Perez L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Alianza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
20.09.25	Envigado - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios	3:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
06.09.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLW
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
20.09.25	Llaneros SA - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Pereira - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	4:0 ✺
22.08.25	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
11.04.25	Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar	0:1

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