Match Info

LaLiga2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Variety 4
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 5
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 5
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Variety 4
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Almería		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	3.30	Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.30
	2.10	3.45	3.10	Watch
	2.21	3.34	3.62
	2.16	3.37	3.35	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.30
	2.14	3.29	3.54	Watch
	2.17	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.2)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	3.31 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
43.7%

Draw
28.1%

Málaga
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	34.8%	8.7%

Almería - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Almería (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Almería (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 5. Rodrigo Ely 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 17. Lopy D. 29. Dzodic S. 23. Embarba A. (C) 11. Arribas S. 10. Melamed N. 24. de la Fuente M.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 12. Dotor C. 23. Merino I. 11. Munoz J. 22. Lorenzo D. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
14. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 21. Chumi 8. Gui Guedes 12. Leo Baptistao 16. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 4. Monte N. 7. Morcillo J. 2. Puigmal A. 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys	7. Abaida H. 5. Brasanac D. 6. Enriquez R. 2. Gabilondo J. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.
Coaches
Rubi	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lopy D. 🟨,
50', Dotor C. 🟨,
53', Murillo D. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
59', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Chupe ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
66', Chupe 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Larrubia D. ⚽, Chupe (A),
73', de la Fuente M. ↓, Thalys ↑,
73', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
73', Munoz A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
79', Lorenzo D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
79', Munoz J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
87', Chupe ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
87', Lopy D. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
90+4', Ochoa A. 🟨,
90+4', Thalys 🟥,
90+9', Ochoa A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

Almería is Qualified for LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

Málaga is Qualified for LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.

Almería has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Málaga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almería will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Almería: Horta A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Galilea E. (Injury) Juanpe (Muscle Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almería won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almeria	11	8	1	2	22:9	13	25

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Almeria: 18.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Almería - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
14.06.26	Málaga - Almería	0:0 ✺
09.06.26	Almería - Castellón	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Castellón - Almería	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Almería - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Sporting de Gijón - Almería	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTWL
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
14.06.26	Málaga - Almería	0:0 ✺
10.06.26	Málaga - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Zaragoza - Málaga	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Málaga - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.06.26	Málaga - Almería	0:0
19.04.26	Almería - Málaga	3:2
21.12.25	Málaga - Almería	2:1
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Almería - Málaga	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.25	Almería - Málaga	2:2
08.12.24	Málaga - Almería	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Málaga - Almería	0:1

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