Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 30

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra


	Almere City		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.8	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.8	2.55
	2.42	3.9	2.6	Watch
	2.5	4	2.63
	2.45	3.9	2.59	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.5
	2.48	3.8	2.57	Watch
	2.42	3.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.35)	3.85 ↑ (3.77)	2.58 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
38.6%

Draw
24.6%

Go Ahead Eagles
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

24.3%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almere City's performance.

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Go Ahead Eagles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	6.7%	60%

Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 31.2% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Go Ahead (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Almere City (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almere City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 27. Martins M. 4. Visus R. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 19. Haye T. 11. Kadile J. 9. Robinet T. (C) 12. Jasim A. 18. Brym C.	22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 3. Nauber G. 4. Kramer J. 29. Adelgaard A. 21. Llansana E. 8. Linthorst E. 19. Antman O. 16. Edvardsen V. 17. Suray M. 9. Smit M.
Substitutes
22. Barbet T. 6. Carbonell A. 2. Dankerlui D. 21. Guillaume B. 17. Hansen K. 3. Jacobs Jo. 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 28. Receveur T. 8. Tahiri A. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)	31. Boakye O. 32. de Lannoy M. 24. Everink L. 14. Pettersson O. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 15. Weijenberg R.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.	Simonis P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Visus R. 🟨,
41', Robinet T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Visus R. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
66', Smit M. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
71', Llansana E. 🟨,
77', Suray M. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
79', Robinet T. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
80', Haye T. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
84', Kadile J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
85', Jasim A. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
87', Antman O. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
87', Adelgaard A. ↓, Weijenberg R. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almere City won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Go Ahead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Go Ahead: Breum J. (Foot Injury) James D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Almere City: Akujobi H. (Injury) Carbonell A. (Hamstring Injury) Foah-Sam A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Go Ahead: Antman O. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Almere City won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17:31 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
19.04.25	Heerenveen - Almere City	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	PSV Eindhoven - Almere City	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Almere City - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Willem II - Almere City	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Almere City - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWT
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.04.25	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.25	NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Utrecht	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	3:0
07.04.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	1:1
28.10.23	Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
27.10.21	Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	3:0
21.11.20	Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0
12.01.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	1:1

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