Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
Serbia	Arena Sport 7


	Almere City		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	3	Watch
	2.35	3.3	3
	2.42	3.35	2.95
	2.37	3.31	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.37	3.32	3.03	Watch
	2.42	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.47)	3.31 ↓ (3.68)	3 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
39.8%

Draw
28.6%

Zwolle
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

25.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Almere City - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Almere City (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 27. Martins M. 4. Visus R. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 19. Haye T. 8. Tahiri A. 17. Hansen K. 18. Brym C. 11. Kadile J. 9. Robinet T. (C)	1. Schendelaar J. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 6. El Azzouzi A. 30. Thomas R. (C) 11. Mbayo D. 35. Monteiro J. 50. Krastev F. 9. Vente D.
Substitutes
23. Balboa A. 22. Barbet T. 2. Dankerlui D. 21. Guillaume B. 3. Jacobs Jo. 12. Jasim A. 41. Mateyo M. (G) 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 28. Receveur T. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 29. Wendlinger J. (G)	29. Buitink T. 22. de Rooij K. 34. Fichtinger N. 40. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 5. Lutonda T. 7. Namli Y. 23. Reijnders E. 10. Van Den Berg D. 33. van der Haar D. 18. Velanas O. 25. Vermeer K. (G)
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.	Jansen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, El Azzouzi A. ⚽, Krastev F. (A),
26', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Vente D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Visus R. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
46', Tahiri A. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
62', Mbayo D. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
66', Hansen K. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
66', Brym C. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Jasim A. ⚽, Robinet T. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Kadile J. ⚽, Lawrence J. (A),
72', Monteiro J. ↓, Van Den Berg D. ↑,
72', Krastev F. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
82', Kadile J. ↓, Nalic A. ↑,
86', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 🟨,
88', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
90+1', Thomas R. 🟨,
90+2', Floranus S. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almere City won 1.

Almere City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zwolle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almere City will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Almere City: Akujobi H. (Yellow Cards) Carbonell A. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Zwolle: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Almere City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
29.03.25	Willem II - Almere City	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Almere City - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Twente - Almere City	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Almere City - Ajax	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Feyenoord - Almere City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLL
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
29.03.25	Zwolle - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Zwolle - Ajax	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Heracles Almelo - Zwolle	4:2 ✺
16.02.25	Zwolle - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
29.09.24	Zwolle - Almere City	1:0
17.02.24	Zwolle - Almere City	0:1
02.09.23	Almere City - Zwolle	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.04.23	Almere City - Zwolle	1:1
06.01.23	Zwolle - Almere City	3:2
Club Friendly
18.07.17	Zwolle - Almere City	3:0

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