Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 9
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Montenegro	Sportklub 9
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 9
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 9
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Almere City		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.9
	2.18	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.22	3.5	3.41
	2.18	3.44	3.32	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.25
	2.28	3.5	3.27	Watch
	2.18	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.68)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	3.24 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
42.9%

Draw
27.7%

NAC Breda
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.7%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almere City's performance.

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NAC Breda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74%	18%	8%

Almere City - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 36 - 75%). Breda will win (votes: 4 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 62.8% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 4. Visus R. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 19. Haye T. 8. Tahiri A. 17. Hansen K. 9. Robinet T. (C) 11. Kadile J. 18. Brym C.	99. Bielica D. (G) 44. Busi M. 15. Mahmutovic E. 5. Van den Bergh J. (C) 4. Kemper B. 77. Sauer L. 2. Lucassen B. 16. Balard M. 55. Sowah K. 10. Omarsson E. 29. van Hooijdonk S.
Substitutes
23. Balboa A. 22. Barbet T. 2. Dankerlui D. 21. Guillaume B. 3. Jacobs Jo. 12. Jasim A. 27. Martins M. 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 28. Receveur T. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)	19. Fernandes S. 39. Janosek D. 20. Jensen F. 14. Kaied A. 23. Kongolo T. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 17. Kuijpers R. 31. Lamprou K. (G) 8. Leemans C. 6. Staring C. 18. van Reeuwijk D.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.	Hoefkens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. ⚽, Lucassen B. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Brym C. ⚽, Tahiri A. (A),
40', Akujobi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Omarsson E. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
58', Sauer L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
58', Lucassen B. ↓, Staring C. ↑,
78', Kemper B. ↓, Kongolo T. ↑,
79', Hansen K. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
79', Tahiri A. ↓, Receveur T. ↑,
84', Brym C. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
84', Kadile J. ↓, Nalic A. ↑,
89', Busi M. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almere City won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Almere City have a series of guest games.

Almere City will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Almere City: Carbonell A. (Hamstring Injury) Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Garbett M. (Injury) Paula R. (Injury) Valerius C. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Almere City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:22 (average 0.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
09.03.25	Twente - Almere City	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Almere City - Ajax	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Feyenoord - Almere City	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	NEC Nijmegen - Almere City	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Utrecht - Almere City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LLLTW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
07.03.25	NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Utrecht - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Waalwijk - NAC Breda	5:0 ✺
31.01.25	NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
30.11.24	NAC Breda - Almere City	1:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.05.23	Almere City - NAC Breda	0:2
16.12.22	NAC Breda - Almere City	0:1
16.04.22	Almere City - NAC Breda	1:2
10.12.21	NAC Breda - Almere City	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.21	NAC Breda - Almere City	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.02.21	NAC Breda - Almere City	4:0

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