Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Heerenveen		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.33	1.85	Watch
	3.55	4.25	1.85
	3.62	4.4	1.9
	3.78	4.59	1.75	Watch
	3.4	4	1.85
	3.7	4.48	1.86	Watch
	3.5	4.25	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (6.33)	4.33 ↓ (5.08)	1.84 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heerenveen
26.6%

Draw
21.9%

PSV Eindhoven
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

18.5%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

17.7%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.9%	5.6%	80.6%

Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Heerenveen (1.68) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - PSV (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - PSV (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Heerenveen (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSV Eindhoven will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 4 - 18.2%). PSV (votes: 18 - 81.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 8. Brouwers L. (C) 6. van Overeem J. 20. Trenskow J. 16. Linday M. 7. Rivera M. 9. Vente D.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 22. Schouten J. (C) 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 20. Til G. 23. Veerman J. 10. Wanner P. 27. Man D. 9. Pepi R. 34. Saibari I.
Substitutes
35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 5. Bochniewicz P. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 10. Meerveld R. 44. Noppert A. (G) 28. Petrov H. 27. Sejk V. 26. van Axel Dongen A.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 11. Driouech C. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 1. Olij N. (G) 24. Schiks N. (G) 25. Sildillia K.
Coaches
Veldman R.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Veerman J. ⚽, Man D. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Pepi R. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
35', Brouwers L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Linday M. ↓, Meerveld R. ↑,
46', Rivera M. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
64', Saibari I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
64', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
67', Vente D. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
78', Wanner P. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
80', Trenskow J. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.

Recent performances by Heerenveen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PSV is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, PSV is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Inactive)

There will not play in PSV: Plea A. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heerenveen: Meerveld R. (Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Perisic I. (Injury) van Duiven R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:40. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
28.11.25	Zwolle - Heerenveen	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Ajax - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLTW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
30.11.25	PSV Eindhoven - Volendam	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Liverpool - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.25	NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	2:1
14.12.24	Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven	1:0
25.04.24	Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven	0:8
07.12.23	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	2:0
21.05.23	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	3:3
09.10.22	Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven	0:1
20.02.22	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	3:1

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