Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 5
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	Nova Sports Start
India	Eurosport
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Japan	Fuji TV Next
Mexico	Disney+
Montenegro	Sportklub 5
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Sportklub 5
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 2, Sport TV2
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+, Triller TV+


	Ajax		Almere City

	1	X	2
	1.15	8	13	Watch
	1.18	8	13.5
	1.15	7.8	18	Watch
	1.18	8.9	16.03
	1.16	7.96	15.8	Watch
	1.17	7.5	15
	1.16	7.9	16	Watch
	1.16	7.8	16.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.08)	7.98 ↓ (10.05)	15.48 ↓ (32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
81.9%

Draw
11.9%

Almere City
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.6%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Ajax - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 66.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rensch D. 24. Rugani D. 15. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 6. Henderson J. (C) 18. Klaassen D. 10. Akpom Ch. 25. Weghorst W. 8. Taylor K.	1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 3. Jacobs Jo. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 7. Providence R. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 8. Tahiri A. 11. Kadile J. 9. Robinet T. (C) 16. Nalic A.
Substitutes
23. Berghuis S. 9. Brobbey B. 3. Gaaei A. 11. Godts M. 12. Gorter J. (G) 4. Hato J. 38. Hlynsson K. 13. Kaplan A. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 29. Rasmussen C. 20. Traore B. 21. van den Boomen B.	23. Balboa A. 22. Barbet T. 6. Carbonell A. 2. Dankerlui D. 27. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 17. Hansen K. 19. Haye T. 25. Mamengi C. 24. Mattoir F. 28. Receveur T. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)
Coaches
Farioli F.	Maduro H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Weghorst W. ⚽, Klaassen D. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Taylor K. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Jacobs Jo. 🟨,
55', 3 - 0, Fitz-Jim K. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
58', Rensch D. 🟨,
61', Akpom Ch. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
61', Henderson J. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
62', Tahiri A. ↓, Haye T. ↑,
62', Lawrence J. ↓, Barbet T. ↑,
62', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
66', Kadile J. 🟨,
73', Providence R. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
75', Weghorst W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
84', Wijndal O. ↓, Kaplan A. ↑,
84', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Hlynsson K. ↑,
85', Kadile J. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Ajax is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almere City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Almere City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ajax is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Rijkhoff J. (Knee Injury) Tahirovic B. (Concussion) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Almere City: Guillaume B. (Foot Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Ajax - Lazio	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
08.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:1 ✺
04.12.24	Ajax - Utrecht	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	NEC Nijmegen - Ajax	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Real Sociedad - Ajax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTWL
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
08.12.24	Almere City - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
30.11.24	NAC Breda - Almere City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Almere City - Feyenoord	1:4 ✺
03.11.24	Waalwijk - Almere City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
12.05.24	Ajax - Almere City	3:0
12.11.23	Almere City - Ajax	2:2
Club Friendly
31.07.22	Almere City - Ajax	1:1

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