Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 3

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vitesse		Almere City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.7	2.65	Watch
	2.15	3.60	2.80
	2.12	3.6	2.95	Watch
	2.27	3.85	2.9
	2.24	3.76	2.84	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.85
	2.34	3.69	2.69	Watch
	2.2	3.65	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.7 ↑ (3.61)	2.8 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
41.7%

Draw
25.1%

Almere City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Vitesse - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Almere City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brull M. (G) 24. Markelo N. 17. Zumberi V. 14. Achouitar O. 43. Olde Keizer C. 6. Schikora M. (C) 33. Marschalk M. 20. de Carvalho F. 8. Schwarz R. 21. Sellouf A. 9. Bannis N.	1. Speel W. (G) 3. Jacobs Jo. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. 5. Bijleveld T. 6. Cornelisse E. 14. Hoedemakers M. 7. Burgering B. 21. el Dahri H. 17. Poku E. 9. Druijf F. (C)
Substitutes
25. Bodak T. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 28. Buttner A. 16. Dahbo P. 34. Ouallil Y. 13. Pinto J. 27. Probst E. 23. Siecker J. (G) 55. Steffen M. 38. te Veluwe K. 22. Thenu X. 7. Zonneveld N.	11. Dors M. 25. Ghogli I. 18. Huisman B. 10. Jacobs Ja. 20. Kalisvaart J. 24. Mateyo M. (G) 35. Pennock B. 44. van Bruggen D. 30. van der Wilt J. (G) 33. van Gom J.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Dastgir A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Lawrence J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', van de Blaak E. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
55', el Dahri H. 🟨,
59', Burgering B. ↓, Kalisvaart J. ↑,
59', Hoedemakers M. ↓, Dors M. ↑,
65', Marschalk M. ↓, Dahbo P. ↑,
65', de Carvalho F. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
69', Lawrence J. ↓, van Bruggen D. ↑,
70', el Dahri H. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
70', Cornelisse E. 🟨,
75', 0 - 2, Dors M. ⚽, Druijf F. (A),
77', Achouitar O. ↓, Probst E. ↑,
77', Druijf F. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Poku E. ⚽, Dors M. (A),
84', Bannis N. ↓, Steffen M. ↑,
84', Schwarz R. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,

Preview

Vitesse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Almere City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Vitesse has had a series of home games.

Vitesse could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Almere City: Vianello T. (Injury) van der Zeeuw T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Almere City: Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Almere City: 12.5% Vitesse: 2.39%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almere City	10	7	1	2	22:7	15	22
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Vitesse - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Almere City - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.08.26	Jong Utrecht - Vitesse	1:3 ✺
07.08.26	Vitesse - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Vitesse - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Vitesse - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Vitesse - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWT
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.08.26	Almere City - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Den Bosch - Almere City	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Emmen - Almere City	4:0 ✺
15.07.26	Almere City - Volendam	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.03.26	Vitesse - Almere City	1:3
10.10.25	Almere City - Vitesse	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
16.03.24	Vitesse - Almere City	1:1
17.12.23	Almere City - Vitesse	5:0

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