Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 28

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)


	Cambuur		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.33	4.2	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.61	4.37	4.96
	1.67	4.33	4.3	Watch
	1.6	4	4.75
	1.6	4.3	4.65	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.76)	4.25 ↑ (3.95)	4.59 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
57.7%

Draw
21.9%

Waalwijk
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambuur's performance.

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Cambuur - Waalwijk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cambuur will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 26. Ferrah I. 8. Souren N. 10. Diemers M. (C) 7. Balk R. 18. Rolke T. 11. Sjostrand O.	16. Spenkelink M. (G) 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 3. van Eijma R. 15. Wouters L. 35. Postma L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 8. van Kaam D. 6. Roemeratoe G. 20. Kuster H. 7. Cleonise D. 9. Uneken J.
Substitutes
17. Apkakou E. 3. Berkhout J. 13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 27. Kooistra W. 15. Kvam F. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 14. van der Sande J. 9. Visser K.	26. Bramel T. (G) 12. Fage R. 55. Held N. 29. Kramer M. 13. Mulder X. (G) 21. Schaapman M. 28. van Beekveld Q. 11. van der Leij T. 30. van der Veen Y. 18. van Hedel R. 25. Witteveen M.
Coaches
de Jong H.	Duits S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', van Gelderen L. ↓, Held N. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Cleonise D. ⚽,
38', Postma L. 🟨,
45+2', Baouf I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rolke T. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
63', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
68', Kuster H. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
68', Cleonise D. ↓, Fage R. ↑,
68', Uneken J. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
69', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
75', Mulders R. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
78', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
82', Spenkelink M. 🟨,
84', Souren N. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
87', Wouters L. ↓, Schaapman M. ↑,
90', Sjostrand O. ↓, Kvam F. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, van der Sande J. ⚽, Binder N. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 1.

In recent matches, Waalwijk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cambuur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cambuur is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2.7:0.7).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Waalwijk: 7.38%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	19:15	4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.02.26	Jong Ajax - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Jong PSV - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
16.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Cambuur - MVV Maastricht	4:0 ✺
12.12.25	Willem II - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.26	Waalwijk - Roda	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Willem II - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Waalwijk - FC Oss	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	3:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:1
Dutch Eredivisie
28.05.23	Cambuur - Waalwijk	4:0
17.09.22	Waalwijk - Cambuur	5:1
06.05.22	Cambuur - Waalwijk	1:1
31.10.21	Waalwijk - Cambuur	0:1

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