Match Info

Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN


	Waalwijk		Roda

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.9	3.7	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.91	3.79	3.87
	1.87	3.77	3.79	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.87	3.84	3.64	Watch
	2.1	3.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.96)	3.74 ↓ (3.95)	3.63 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
49.2%

Draw
25%

Roda
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

23.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Waalwijk - Roda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Waalwijk will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Osch Y. (G) 55. Held N. 3. van Eijma R. 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 5. Familia-Castillo J. 35. Postma L. 14. Boetius J-P. 7. Cleonise D. 20. Kuster H. 12. Fage R. 9. Uneken J.	1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 5. Jansen K. 15. Beerten L. 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 9. van den Hurk A. (C) 11. Griffith I.
Substitutes
26. Bramel T. (G) 29. Kramer M. 6. Roemeratoe G. 21. Schaapman M. 16. Spenkelink M. (G) 28. van Beekveld Q. 11. van der Leij T. 30. van der Veen Y. 10. van der Venne R. 18. van Hedel R. 8. van Kaam D. 25. Witteveen M.	16. Cooper-Love J. 24. Deom J. 26. El Meliani R. 27. Kalinauskas T. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 6. Paulissen M. 7. Seedorf C. 2. Timmermans J. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R. 21. Zich B. (G)
Coaches
Duits S.	van Dessel K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', van den Hurk A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Van den Buijs D. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Muller J. P. (A),
61', Boetius J-P. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
68', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
68', Griffith I. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
74', Uneken J. 🟨,
76', Kuster H. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
76', Fage R. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
81', Cleonise D. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
84', Breij M. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
84', Muller J. P. ↓, El Meliani R. ↑,
85', El Meliani R. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Uneken J. ⚽, Kramer M. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
98', Uneken J. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
106', Jansen K. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
106', Postma L. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Paulissen M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, van Kaam D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Deom J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, van Eijma R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kalinauskas T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, van Gelderen L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Beerten L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Waalwijk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R. (Knee Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F. (Injury) Zorgdrager B. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Waalwijk: 7.17% Roda: 3.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
28.04.26	Roda - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Waalwijk - Jong PSV	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	ADO Den Haag - Waalwijk	5:1 ✺
10.04.26	Waalwijk - Emmen	5:0 ✺
06.04.26	Helmond Sport - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLWT
- Roda JC
Dutch Eredivisie
28.04.26	Roda - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Roda - Emmen	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	FC Eindhoven - Roda	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Roda - Willem II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
28.04.26	Roda - Waalwijk	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.26	Waalwijk - Roda	1:2
19.09.25	Roda - Waalwijk	1:4
05.04.19	Roda - Waalwijk	0:0
14.09.18	Waalwijk - Roda	0:1
16.01.15	Waalwijk - Roda	3:0
08.08.14	Roda - Waalwijk	3:2

Waalwijk - Roda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide