Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Valencia		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.75	5
	1.75	3.75	5	Watch
	1.75	3.85	5.09
	1.74	3.88	5.08
	1.65	3.8	5
	1.76	3.95	5.18	Watch
	1.71	3.8	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)	3.82 ↓ (3.98)	5.07 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
55.9%

Draw
25.2%

Almería
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.8%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.1%	3.4%	4.5%

Valencia - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: Valencia will win (82 of 89 users predict this - 92.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.54% – 97.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 3. Mosquera C. 15. Ozkacar C. 14. Gaya J. (C) 8. Guerra J. 18. Pepelu 6. Guillamon H. 16. Lopez D. 17. Yaremchuk R. 9. Duro H.	25. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 22. Montes C. 21. Chumi 20. Centelles A. 3. Gonzalez E. 6. Lopy D. 19. Arribas S. 11. Melero G. 7. Ramazani L. 12. Leo Baptistao
Substitutes
19. Amallah S. 1. Domenech J. (G) 34. Gasiorowski Y. 30. Gonzalez H. 11. Gonzalez P. 27. Gozalbez P. 31. Iranzo R. 22. Mari A. 23. Perez F. 13. Rivero C. (G) 21. Vazquez J.	4. Baba I. 10. Embarba A. 24. Langa B. 14. Lazaro 15. Lozano C. 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 29. Milovanovic M. 17. Pozo A. 16. Radovanovic A. 5. Robertone L. 38. Romero L.
Coaches
Baraja R.	Garitano G.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia won 2.

Recent matches Valencia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almería has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valencia is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Valencia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
28.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.24	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.01.24	Cádiz - Valencia	1:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
26.01.24	Almería - Deportivo Alavés	0:3 ✺
21.01.24	Real Madrid - Almería	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Almería - Girona	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Osasuna - Almería	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Barcelona - Almería	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.09.23	Almería - Valencia	2:2
09.04.23	Almería - Valencia	2:1
23.01.23	Valencia - Almería	2:2
23.05.15	Almería - Valencia	2:3
17.01.15	Valencia - Almería	3:2
27.03.14	Almería - Valencia	2:2
30.10.13	Valencia - Almería	1:2

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