Match Info

Date: 24 May 2021, Monday


	Almería		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	8	Watch
	1.42	4.1	8
	1.4	4.3	8.5	Watch
	1.41	4.3	7.4
	1.44	4.38	9
	1.4	4	9	Watch
	1.43	4.45	8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)	4.27 ↑ (3.69)	8.27 ↑ (6.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
66.6%

Draw
22.1%

UD Logroñés
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

25.3%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

21%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.9%	22%	12.2%

Almería - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Logroñés will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 51.4% – 80.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18).

Almería has the most likely position - 4 (30.09%), has project points - 70, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (93%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has not chance of win league.

Logroñés has the most likely position - 18 (48.46%), has project points - 46, has currently - 44, has a chance of relegated (32%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Recent matches Almería is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Logroñés is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Almería is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Almería won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.21	Cartagena - Almería	3:2 ✺
15.05.21	Almería - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
07.05.21	Tenerife - Almería	0:1 ✺
01.05.21	Almería - Real Oviedo	2:2 ✺
25.04.21	Mirandés - Almería	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWTT
- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
19.05.21	UD Logroñés - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
16.05.21	Leganés - UD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
09.05.21	UD Logroñés - Girona	1:4 ✺
02.05.21	Castellón - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
24.04.21	UD Logroñés - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.20	UD Logroñés - Almería	1:0

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