Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Leganés		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.57	3.6	6.25
	1.57	3.55	6.75	Watch
	1.62	3.45	5.8
	1.65	3.71	6.3
	1.6	3.4	6.5	Watch
	1.6	3.68	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.57 ↑ (3.44)	6.38 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
58.9%

Draw
26.4%

UD Logroñés
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

27.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

16.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leganés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Leganés - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Logroñés will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Leganés has the most likely position - 4 (38.89%), has project points - 70, has currently - 63, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of prom. playoffs (97%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has not chance of win league.

Logroñés has the most likely position - 21 (21.23%), has project points - 45, has currently - 41, has a good chance of relegated (65%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Leganés is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.21	Rayo Vallecano - Leganés	1:1 ✺
02.05.21	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Alcorcón - Leganés	1:2 ✺
19.04.21	Leganés - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Espanyol - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWTL
- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.21	UD Logroñés - Girona	1:4 ✺
02.05.21	Castellón - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
24.04.21	UD Logroñés - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	UD Logroñés - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Mirandés - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.20	UD Logroñés - Leganés	0:1

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