Match Info

Date: 19 May 2021, Wednesday


	UD Logroñés		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.3
	2.25	3.15	3.35	Watch
	2.23	3.05	3.3
	2.31	3.22	3.41
	2.3	3	3.3	Watch
	2.28	3.16	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.34)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
41.3%

Draw
30.6%

Fuenlabrada
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

21%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fuenlabrada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UD Logroñés - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Logroñés has the most likely position - 19 (21.69%), has project points - 44, has currently - 41, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 12 (16.96%), has project points - 54, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Logroñés is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Logroñés will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.21	Leganés - UD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
09.05.21	UD Logroñés - Girona	1:4 ✺
02.05.21	Castellón - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
24.04.21	UD Logroñés - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	UD Logroñés - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.21	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
09.05.21	Mirandés - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
02.05.21	Fuenlabrada - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
24.04.21	Málaga - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
16.04.21	Fuenlabrada - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.10.20	Fuenlabrada - UD Logroñés	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.01.17	UD Logroñés - Fuenlabrada	1:1
28.08.16	Fuenlabrada - UD Logroñés	2:1

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