Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 29

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Almirante Brown		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4	Watch
	2	3.2	3.6
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	1.97	3.28	4.28
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.96	3.32	4.1
	1.95	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	3.24 ↑ (3.21)	3.88 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
47.1%

Draw
28.9%

Patronato Parana
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Almirante Brown - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almirante Brown: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Abreliano M. 2. Moreno C. 6. Barrionuevo A. 3. Mino F. 7. Stable Facundo N. 5. Enrique M. 11. Santiago M. 8. Garcia D. (C) 10. Vera S. 9. Rivero G.	1. Salva J. (G) 4. Ruiz M. 2. Ojeda S. 6. Gonzalez C. 3. Pereyra V. L. 11. Vazquez F. 5. Domingo N. (C) 7. Solis N. 8. Arce D. 10. Valdez J. 9. Diaz E.
Substitutes
20. Batallini M. 19. Bazan N. 14. Dattola A. 17. Escurra J. L. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 16. Garcia J. 18. Guzman L. 13. Ledesma D. 15. Vazquez J.	16. Barinaga J. 13. Bellatti S. D. N. 12. Budino M. (G) 15. Caceres T. 18. Gonzalez K. 14. Kruspzky L. 17. Picco A. R. 19. Russo I. 20. Sosa A.
Coaches
Franco D.	de Paoli R.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Almirante Brown is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Patronato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almirante Brown will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.08.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	4:1 ✺
29.07.23	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.08.23	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	3:2 ✺
30.07.23	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	Patronato Parana - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.07.23	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.23	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:1
04.05.14	Almirante Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0
03.11.13	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:0
17.06.13	Almirante Brown - Patronato Parana	1:2
03.02.13	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:0

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