Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)


	Almirante Brown		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.35	2.75	3.35
	2.34	2.81	3.83
	2.2	2.88	3.4
	2.23	3.08	3.52
	2.26	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.34)	2.91 ↓ (2.99)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
41.1%

Draw
32%

San Martín de San Juan
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Almirante Brown - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Abreliano M. 2. Dattola A. 6. Ledesma D. 11. Zacaria J. 8. Santiago M. 3. Moreno C. 5. Enrique M. 7. Escurra J. L. 10. Vera S. 9. Batallini M.	1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Aguirre A. 2. Villegas J. C. 6. Sienra A. 3. Bontempo L. 8. Pelaitay N. 5. Blanco J. 11. Llano Massa M. T. 7. Arturia M. 9. Donato M. 10. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
13. Barrionuevo A. 19. Bazan N. 18. Belloso M. 20. Garcia D. 12. Gatas N. (G) 14. Mino F. 15. Ochoa A. 17. Stable Facundo N. 16. Vazquez J.	17. Acosta L. 16. Alvarez L. 12. Bonansea F. (G) 20. Borasi B. 19. Gordillo L. 13. Heredia A. 14. Molina A. 18. Sanchez C. 15. Vega A.
Coaches
Pinto G.	Monasterio C.

Preview

Almirante Brown is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Martín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almirante Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.07.23	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Almirante Brown - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	4:0 ✺
19.06.23	Almirante Brown - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTLWW
- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Morón	4:0 ✺
30.06.23	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	4:0 ✺
24.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
14.06.23	Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.03.23	San Martín de San Juan - Almirante Brown	1:1
22.03.22	Almirante Brown - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
30.03.14	San Martín de San Juan - Almirante Brown	1:1
29.09.13	Almirante Brown - San Martín de San Juan	0:0

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