Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vostok Stadium (Oskemen) 🌤️ ...


	Altai Semey		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.00	2.70
	2.32	3	2.95	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.94
	2.17	3.53	2.91	Watch
	2.17	2.8	2.9
	2.29	3.33	3.02
	2.32	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.55)	3.12 ↑ (2.96)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai Semey
39.9%

Draw
29%

Atyrau
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Altai Semey - Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Aliakbar A. (G) 4. Micevic N. 23. Kenzhegulov D. (C) 3. Odeoyibo S. 88. Ivanov S. 11. Dadaev I. 17. Kukeev Z. 98. Podstrelov D. 9. Gorshunov E. 99. Stoisavljevic D. 45. Dodev D.	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 5. Satanov S. 78. Khvalko E. 71. Prce F. 23. Shaykhov B. 4. Rabiu M. 8. Stanic M. 15. Ofori E. 11. Seytkaliev A. (C) 44. Maksimovic D. 90. Pantelic D.
Substitutes
37. Bragin R. 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 19. Gultyaev Z. 21. Jambor N. 91. Khizhnichenko S. 25. Kucher D. (G) 29. Lobzhanidze E. 70. Mitrofanov D. 77. Popov S. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 5. Saylybaev O.	9. Abdulla A. 20. Boranshiev A. 21. Deputy D. 14. Dorofeev K. 10. Dzhumatov R. 7. Henrique 17. Kalmuratov K. 99. Kereev B. 2. Tkachenko Y. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Masudov V.	Smakov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Dadaev I. ⚽, Odeoyibo S. (A),
42', Shaykhov B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', Dadaev I. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
70', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Lobzhanidze E. ↑,
70', Stanic M. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
76', Pantelic D. 🟨,
76', Kukeev Z. 🟨,
78', Popov S. 🟨,
78', Kukeev Z. ↓, Jambor N. ↑,
80', Popov S. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Dorofeev K. ⚽, Henrique (A),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

Altai is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atyrau is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Atyrau has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Altai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Altai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Altai	29	6	9	14	30:41	-11	27
14	Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24:35	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai Semey
Kazakh Premier League
11.10.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Altai Semey	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Altai Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ulytau - Altai Semey	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Altai Semey - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Zhenis - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
14.10.26	Atyrau - Yelimay Semey	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Zhenis - Atyrau	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Atyrau - Ordabasy	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Kaisar - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
03.05.26	Atyrau - Altai Semey	1:0
Kazakh Cup
08.05.19	Altai Semey - Atyrau	1:2 penalties

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