Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Vostok Stadium (Oskemen)


	Altai Semey		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.70
	2.30	3.00	2.70
	2.51	3.03	2.79	Watch
	2.40	2.95	2.70
	2.61	3.01	2.86
	2.43	2.95	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.55)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai Semey
36.8%

Draw
30.3%

Atyrau
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Atyrau have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Altai Semey - Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

Altai is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atyrau is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Atyrau has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Altai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Altai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Altai	26	6	7	13	26:36	-10	25
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai Semey
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Altai Semey - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Altai Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Okzhetpes - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Astana - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
16.08.26	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Atyrau - Kairat	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
03.05.26	Atyrau - Altai Semey	1:0
Kazakh Cup
08.05.19	Altai Semey - Atyrau	1:2 penalties

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