Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Astana Arena (Astana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abdullaev B. (Kaz)


	Zhenis		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.85
	1.86	3.20	3.45	Watch
	2.14	3.33	3.21
	1.65	3.82	4.58	Watch
	2.11	3.25	3.05
	2.19	3.38	3.22	Watch
	2.21	3.30	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.66)	3.36 ↓ (3.81)	3.32 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
45%

Draw
27.4%

Atyrau
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

20.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhenis's form might have worsened.

Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atyrau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-4%)

Zhenis - Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 4. Bystrov M. 5. Tevzadze Z. (C) 72. Askarov M. 13. Tursynbay S. 18. Madelkhan B. 9. Naumets V. 11. Filipovic A. 88. Martins G. 10. Imnadze L. 19. Adilio	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 5. Satanov S. 78. Khvalko E. 71. Prce F. 17. Kalmuratov K. (C) 4. Rabiu M. 15. Ofori E. 20. Boranshiev A. 8. Stanic M. 90. Pantelic D. 44. Maksimovic D.
Substitutes
16. Abuov T. (G) 17. Adilov A. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 90. Isaev R. 8. Khaseyn M. 3. Kpozo P. 7. Kuat I. 14. Saulet A. 1. Sotnik I. (G) 69. Zhaguparov F. 29. Zharynbetov S.	9. Abdulla A. 21. Deputy D. 14. Dorofeev K. 10. Dzhumatov R. 7. Henrique 99. Kereev B. 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 18. Trufanov Y. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Sliskovic V.	Smakov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', Madelkhan B. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Maksimovic D. ⚽, Stanic M. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Maksimovic D. ⚽, Kalmuratov K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Naumets V. ↓, Khaseyn M. ↑,
46', Bystrov M. ↓, Saulet A. ↑,
59', Khaseyn M. 🟨,
59', Madelkhan B. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
60', Askarov M. ↓, Kuat I. ↑,
65', Boranshiev A. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
68', Khaseyn M. 🟨,
74', Pantelic D. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
76', Adilio ↓, Isaev R. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Filipovic A. ⚽,
84', Martins G. 🟨,
88', Khvalko E. 🟨,
90+3', Khatkevich E. 🟨,
90+5', Rabiu M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 15th in the Relegation - First League).

In recent outings, Zhenis has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Atyrau is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Zhenis carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Zhenis has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zhenis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Zhenis	29	8	9	12	30:39	-9	33
14	Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24:35	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
18.09.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Kairat - Zhenis	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Aktobe - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Zhenis - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
17.09.26	Atyrau - Ordabasy	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Kaisar - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Atyrau - Astana	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
20.03.26	Atyrau - Zhenis	0:0
18.10.25	Atyrau - Zhenis	1:1
21.06.25	Zhenis - Atyrau	2:0
21.09.24	Atyrau - Zhenis	2:1
02.06.24	Zhenis - Atyrau	0:1

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