Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kaysar Arena (Kyzylorda)

Referee: Zatula A. (Kaz)


	Kaisar		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	3.00
	2.18	3.10	2.80	Watch
	2.33	3.20	3.22
	2.23	3.14	3.12	Watch
	2.30	2.80	3.15
	2.26	3.25	3.14	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.53)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	3.06 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaisar
40.8%

Draw
29.5%

Atyrau
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+2%)

Kaisar - Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kovac A. (G) 5. Kenesbek A. (C) 93. Askarov S. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 47. Konlimkos B. 13. Zhaksylyk N. 42. Miqueias 6. Kaldybekov E. 11. Moses V. 29. Bagdat R.	35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 78. Khvalko E. 71. Prce F. 17. Kalmuratov K. (C) 4. Rabiu M. 15. Ofori E. 8. Stanic M. 9. Abdulla A. 44. Maksimovic D. 90. Pantelic D.
Substitutes
10. Agostinho 9. Agzambaev N. 24. Cuckic N. 70. Ezekiel I. 15. Idrisov N. 96. Mukhammed A. 2. Redzhepov T. 1. Salaydin N. (G) 7. Tazhibay B. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S. 23. Zhumat M.	20. Boranshiev A. 21. Deputy D. 14. Dorofeev K. 7. Henrique 99. Kereev B. 1. Khatkevich E. (G) 5. Satanov S. 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 18. Trufanov Y. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Karpov D.	Smakov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Bukorac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abdulla A. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
46', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Cuckic N. ↑,
68', Bagdat R. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
71', Stanic M. ↓, Boranshiev A. ↑,
72', Pantelic D. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
78', Kenesbek A. ↓, Tazhibay B. ↑,
78', Bukorac S. ↓, Zhumabekov S. ↑,
78', Kalmuratov K. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Cuckic N. ⚽, Mukhammed A. (A),
85', Konlimkos B. ↓, Redzhepov T. ↑,
90+1', Mukhammed A. 🟨,
90+2', Mukhammed A. 🟨,
90+3', Prce F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 1.

Kaisar is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atyrau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Atyrau has had a series of home games.

Kaisar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
06.09.26	Altai Semey - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	2:3 ✺
25.08.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kaisar	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Zhenis - Kaisar	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
05.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Atyrau - Astana	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
11.04.26	Atyrau - Kaisar	2:0
23.08.25	Kaisar - Atyrau	0:0
25.05.25	Atyrau - Kaisar	1:2
03.08.24	Atyrau - Kaisar	2:2
20.04.24	Kaisar - Atyrau	1:1
22.10.23	Kaisar - Atyrau	1:0
10.03.23	Atyrau - Kaisar	2:1

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