Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atyrau		Yelimay Semey

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.00
	3.3	3.35	2.02	Watch
	3.49	3.11	2.1
	3.89	3.33	1.89	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.04
	3.82	3.42	1.96
	3.45	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.86)	3.22 ↓ (3.31)	2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
26%

Draw
28.4%

Yelimay Semey
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.8%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.9%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atyrau's form might have worsened.

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yelimay Semey's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atyrau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Atyrau - Yelimay Semey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Atyrau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yelimay could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
17.09.26	Atyrau - Ordabasy	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Kaisar - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Atyrau - Astana	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL
- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
17.09.26	Tobol Kostanay - Yelimay Semey	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Yelimay Semey - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Astana - Yelimay Semey	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
21.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	1:2
26.10.25	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	3:2
01.03.25	Atyrau - Yelimay Semey	2:1
26.10.24	Atyrau - Yelimay Semey	1:0
02.03.24	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	0:0

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