Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	10:00	SportsEngine Play


	Atyrau		Yelimay Semey

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.20	2.05
	2.9	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.96	3.4	2.21
	2.97	3.42	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.11
	3.02	3.55	2.22	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.86)	3.35 ↑ (3.31)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
30.7%

Draw
27.2%

Yelimay Semey
42.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.8%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.9%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Atyrau - Yelimay Semey Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yelimay will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 5. Satanov S. 78. Khvalko E. 71. Prce F. 17. Kalmuratov K. (C) 4. Rabiu M. 15. Ofori E. 21. Deputy D. 8. Stanic M. 90. Pantelic D. 44. Maksimovic D.	1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 26. Tanasijevic S. 15. Mittendorfer M. 4. Zhumakhanov A. 20. Ashirbek A. 44. Tulubay A. 18. Orazov R. (C) 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 89. China 9. Murillo R. 19. Zhaksylykov A.
Substitutes
9. Abdulla A. 14. Dorofeev K. 10. Dzhumatov R. 7. Henrique 99. Kereev B. 1. Khatkevich E. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 2. Tkachenko Y. 25. Zhumagali S.	5. Belancic M. 23. Ilic H. 7. Murtazaev R. 8. Omatay M. 14. Palacio D. 10. Payruz Z. 77. Placca F. 98. Pozemin D. (G) 11. Sviridov I.
Coaches
Smakov S.	Karpovich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Deputy D. ↓, Henrique ↑,
39', 0 - 1, Ashirbek A. ⚽, Orazov R. (A),
45+1', Orazov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Satanov S. 🟨,
60', Murillo R. 🟨,
72', Zhaksylykov A. ↓, Placca F. ↑,
72', Murillo R. ↓, Ilic H. ↑,
79', Ofori E. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Pantelic D. ⚽,
85', China ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Payruz Z. ⚽, Tulubay A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Atyrau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yelimay could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	29	12	9	8	42:40	2	45
14	Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24:35	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
10.10.26	Zhenis - Atyrau	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Atyrau - Ordabasy	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Kaisar - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Atyrau - Astana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLWL
- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
10.10.26	Yelimay Semey - Aktobe	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Tobol Kostanay - Yelimay Semey	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Yelimay Semey - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Astana - Yelimay Semey	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
21.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	1:2
26.10.25	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	3:2
01.03.25	Atyrau - Yelimay Semey	2:1
26.10.24	Atyrau - Yelimay Semey	1:0
02.03.24	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	0:0

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