Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)

Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Okzhetpes		Zhenis

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.70
	2.18	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.37	3.23	2.99
	2.07	3.25	3.37	Watch
	2.3	2.85	2.65
	2.26	3.24	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.96)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
40.6%

Draw
29%

Zhenis
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Okzhetpes - Zhenis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 8. Buribaev N. 9. Borodin D. 25. Marcinho 47. Vasiljev V. 19. Omirtaev O. (C) 17. Umarov S.	41. Plotnikov M. (G) 14. Saulet A. 5. Tevzadze Z. 63. Saravanja I. 13. Tursynbay S. 11. Filipovic A. 7. Kuat I. (C) 29. Zharynbetov S. 10. Imnadze L. 9. Naumets V. 93. Elder Santana
Substitutes
91. Abdumannonov B. 12. Dovgal A. (G) 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 16. Shamshi B. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 4. Zyabko V.	16. Abuov T. (G) 19. Adilio 17. Adilov A. 72. Askarov M. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 4. Bystrov M. 8. Khaseyn M. 3. Kpozo P. 18. Madelkhan B. 88. Martins G. 1. Sotnik I. (G)
Coaches
Alyuetov R.	Sliskovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Elder Santana ↓, Adilio ↑,
22', 1 - 0, Leo Assunpcao ⚽,
29', Marcinho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Saravanja I. 🟨,
55', Tursynbay S. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Borodin D. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Umarov S. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
61', Omirtaev O. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
65', Tursynbay S. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
65', Kuat I. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
70', Marcinho ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
70', Buribaev N. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
81', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Zhangylyshbay T. ⚽,
84', Vomenko V. 🟨,
86', 3 - 1, Adilio ⚽, Naumets V. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Zhenis may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Okzhetpes has faced a series of away games on the road.

Okzhetpes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Okzhetpes has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Okzhetpes against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
13.09.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Okzhetpes - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Astana - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWL
- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
12.09.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Kairat - Zhenis	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Aktobe - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Zhenis - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Zhenis - Kaisar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	2:3
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Zhenis - Okzhetpes	1:1
25.07.25	Zhenis - Okzhetpes	0:0
26.04.25	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	1:1
Kazakh First League
30.07.22	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	1:1
24.04.22	Zhenis - Okzhetpes	0:3

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