Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 12

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)


	Alvarado		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.60	6.75
	1.34	4.10	8.50
	1.45	3.55	6.82
	1.52	3.51	7.82	Watch
	1.44	3.30	8.00
	1.43	3.54	8.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.38)	3.6 ↓ (3.9)	7.7 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
63%

Draw
25.2%

Sol de Mayo
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

23%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

22.1%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Alvarado - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (C) 11. Castellano A. 2. Centurion F. 9. Cervera G. 8. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 4. Fernandez T. 10. Gutierrez S. 6. Mansilla M. 3. Perez M. 7. Speck N.	1. Torres L. (G) 9. Amud L. 2. Areco G. 8. Curima C. 5. Gimenez F. 10. Jara S. 3. Kucich M. 6. Perez S. 11. Soria E. 7. Valdebenito F. 4. Zalazar D.
Substitutes
13. Berra T. 16. Fernandez L. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 20. Melean A. 18. Miori M. 14. Nunez L. 17. Pinoni F. 19. Sosa G. 12. Zapata A. (G)	20. Cordoba E. 17. Dietz D. 18. Jara G. 14. Lopez S. 15. Montero I. 13. Otero G. 19. Pereira K. 16. Quilen L. 12. Roldan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 🟨,
18', 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Federico T. ⚽,
24', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
80', 🟥,
85', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Chiozza L. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Alvarado is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Alvarado - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Alvarado - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Germinal - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLT
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.26	Sol de Mayo - Santamarina de Tandil	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sol de Mayo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.04.26	Sol de Mayo - Alvarado	0:0
20.05.19	Alvarado - Sol de Mayo	1:0
12.05.19	Sol de Mayo - Alvarado	1:1
10.12.18	Alvarado - Sol de Mayo	1:0

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