Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Viola F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.6	3.6	Watch
	1.93	2.9	4.33
	2.32	2.52	3.7	Watch
	2.58	2.47	3.98
				Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.5
	2.38	2.63	3.55	Watch
	1.85	2.92	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.97)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)	4.04 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
42.4%

Draw
34.5%

Gimnasia y Tiro
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

32.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

34%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Boolsen P. 6. Lorenzo A. 3. Meritello F. 8. Cosi J. 5. Fernandez Pinto J. 10. Quiroga S. 11. Monserrat M. 7. Parisi L. 9. Diellos D.	1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Guanini M. 6. Diaz G. 3. Villarreal R. 8. Rojas F. 5. Birge M. 10. Rinaldi N. 11. Sivetti F. 7. Aguirre J. 9. Contin N.
Substitutes
20. Ayala G. 19. Benegas M. 18. Campos M. 12. Ferrario R. (G) 15. Flores S. 17. Palacio P. 13. Rivero F. 16. Tomasetti G. 14. Vallejos M.	17. Bravo G. 16. Busse W. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 14. Galetto J. 19. Heredia F. 15. Keko 18. Montoya L. 20. Reynaga R. 13. Tallura A.
Coaches
Rondina S.	Quiroz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Nazareno K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Rinaldi N. 🟥,
58', Chaves I. F. 🟨,
59', Meritello F. ↓, Vallejos M. ↑,
59', Nazareno K. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
60', Contin N. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
69', Fernandez Pinto J. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
72', Monserrat M. 🟨,
75', Parisi L. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
75', Quiroga S. ↓, Ayala G. ↑,
78', Monserrat M. 🟨,
84', Aguirre J. ↓, Galetto J. ↑,
84', Rojas F. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
90', Sivetti F. ↓, Busse W. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ferro Carril is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferro Carril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.06.25	Tristán Suárez - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Güemes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:0 ✺
24.05.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTLW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.06.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
13.06.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2

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