The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 30.5%
Draw 31.7%
Independiente Rivadavia 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
32.3%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.4%
22.2%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alvarado - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Recent matches Alvarado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Independiente Rivadavia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.