Match Info

Date: 3 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Alvarado		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.45
	2.9	2.85	2.4
	2.95	2.75	2.55	Watch
	3.05	2.85	2.37
	3.29	2.96	2.49
	3	2.88	2.45
	2.96	3.08	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.59)	2.91 ↑ (2.84)	2.44 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
30.5%

Draw
31.7%

Independiente Rivadavia
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

25.3%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alvarado - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Alvarado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Rivadavia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.12.20	Mitre - Alvarado	2:2 ✺
19.12.20	Alvarado - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
12.12.20	Alvarado - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Nueva Chicago - Alvarado	2:5 ✺
28.11.20	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLWT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.12.20	Independiente Rivadavia - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	Nueva Chicago - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
12.12.20	Independiente Rivadavia - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
05.12.20	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0 ✺
28.11.20	Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.03.20	Alvarado - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3
22.09.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Alvarado	3:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.11.26	Alvarado - Sportivo Las Parejas	✺
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.11.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	✺

Alvarado - Independiente Rivadavia