Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Nueva Chicago		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.33
	2	2.75	4.75
	2.07	2.9	4.61
	2.05	2.75	4
	2	2.99	4.5
	2	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.66)	2.91 ↓ (3.5)	4.4 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
46.4%

Draw
32.3%

Alvarado
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26.3%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

25.6%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nueva Chicago's form might have worsened.

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nueva Chicago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Nueva Chicago - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor D. (G) 4. Sosa B. 2. Fedorco J. 6. Tomino J. I. 3. Ostchega T. 8. Lopez L. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 10. Cardozo E. 7. Obregon E. 9. Naya E. 11. Ortega L.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 4. Ortiz N. D. 2. Robledo A. 6. Irazoque A. 3. Ihitz N. 8. Jaurena S. 5. Vitale J. 7. Malagueno F. 11. Boasso F. 10. Fernandez J. L. 9. Albertengo M.
Substitutes
13. Arroyo D. 20. Bergara M. 12. Ferrero F. (G) 17. Gauna J. 19. Gonzalez J. 14. Lorenzo A. 16. Mendoza G. 15. Rodriguez T. 18. Spetale A.	17. Arias J. 13. Berra T. 14. Bettini M. 19. Bolanos E. 15. Lamardo G. 16. Makarte R. 20. Rebecchi L. 12. Zapata A. (G)
Coaches
Montenegro A.	Martinez J. M.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 0.

Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvarado is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Nueva Chicago is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Chicago won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.23	Deportivo Flandria - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
16.08.23	Nueva Chicago - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	3:2 ✺
22.07.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTWL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.23	Alvarado - All Boys	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Alvarado - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.04.23	Alvarado - Nueva Chicago	1:0
04.09.22	Alvarado - Nueva Chicago	0:0
06.11.21	Alvarado - Nueva Chicago	4:0
10.07.21	Nueva Chicago - Alvarado	1:1
05.12.20	Nueva Chicago - Alvarado	2:5
19.10.19	Nueva Chicago - Alvarado	0:1

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