Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Alverca		Torreense

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	1.98	3.35	3.75
	2.04	3.4	4.1
	1.99	3.26	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.7
	1.93	3.29	4.04
	1.98	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.97)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	3.86 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
47.5%

Draw
28.4%

Torreense
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alverca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Alverca - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Torreense will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 16. Pires M. 5. Varela F. 3. Alysson 88. Martins D. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 40. Ageu E. 74. Shinga K. 7. Brenner 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho	1. Lucas Paes (G) 28. Elie 4. Ne Lopes 5. Lomboto J. 22. Dani Bolt 6. Pinto R. 30. Balanta J. A. (C) 23. Vazquez J. 11. Pozo M. 66. Gonzalez E. 27. Jean D.
Substitutes
20. Bukia A. 22. David Bruno 25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 89. Joao Marcos 12. Reinaldo 23. Silva P. (G) 36. Thauan Lara 6. Velazquez S.	46. Agbor B. 16. Ali Abdallah A. 90. Costa D. 75. Jean-Marie M. 8. Leo Silva 20. Pite 2. Stopira 19. Talles Wander 12. Thiago (G)
Coaches
Costa V.	Fernandes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Carter A. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Ageu E. ⚽, Andrezinho (A),
25', 2 - 0, Pedro Bicalho ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Pozo M. ⚽,
36', Lomboto J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Jean D. 🟨,
54', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
57', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
58', Andrezinho 🟨,
59', Lomboto J. ↓, Stopira ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Ne Lopes ⚽,
68', Ne Lopes 🟨,
69', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
72', Pozo M. 🟨,
79', Pinto R. ↓, Leo Silva ↑,
85', Pozo M. ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
85', Brenner ↓, Bukia A. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alverca won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Alverca won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.25	Penafiel - Alverca	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Alverca - Mafra	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Leixões - Alverca	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Alverca - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
09.02.25	Académico de Viseu - Alverca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWT
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.25	Torreense - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Tondela - Torreense	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Torreense - Chaves	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Portimonense - Torreense	1:2 ✺
10.02.25	Torreense - Vizela	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.10.24	Torreense - Alverca	1:0
Portuguese Liga 3
15.04.22	Torreense - Alverca	2:0
20.03.22	Alverca - Torreense	2:1
26.02.22	Alverca - Torreense	3:1
05.12.21	Torreense - Alverca	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.04.21	Alverca - Torreense	0:0
10.03.21	Torreense - Alverca	1:2

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