Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Penafiel		Alverca

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.3	3.2	2.21
	3.53	3.32	2.25
	3.42	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.34	3.23	2.17	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.09)	3.19 ↑ (3.09)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Penafiel
28.1%

Draw
29.2%

Alverca
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Penafiel - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Balde M. (G) 68. Maga 44. Pereira R. 4. Miguel J. (C) 3. Gustavo Fernandes 15. Silva J. 8. Reko 21. Batista D. 20. Rodrigues T. 30. Silva A. 77. Olamilekan Fatai S.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 3. Alysson 5. Varela F. 25. Dias R. (C) 7. Brenner 40. Ageu E. 16. Pires M. 74. Shinga K. 89. Joao Marcos 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho
Substitutes
26. Brito D. 88. Ewerton 27. Negrao G. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 14. Pereira B. 10. Silva J. 9. Suker H. 7. Vieira P. 34. Ze Leite	20. Bukia A. 22. David Bruno 18. Eduardo W. 88. Martins D. 4. Mendonca I. 35. Pedro Bicalho 12. Reinaldo 23. Silva P. (G) 36. Thauan Lara
Coaches
Cristovao H.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Batista D. ⚽, Olamilekan Fatai S. (A),
4', Maga 🟨,
12', 1 - 1, Ageu E. ⚽,
19', Shinga K. 🟨,
37', Gustavo Fernandes 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Maga ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Joao Marcos ⚽, Ageu E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Andrezinho ↓, Mendonca I. ↑,
62', Shinga K. ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
64', Reko 🟨,
65', Batista D. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
67', Thauan Lara 🟨,
73', Joao Bravim 🟨,
73', Brenner ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
75', Gustavo Fernandes ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Reko ⚽, Rodrigues T. (A),
84', Rodrigues T. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
84', Silva A. ↓, Brito D. ↑,
84', Olamilekan Fatai S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
85', Dias R. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
85', Varela F. ↓, Bukia A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Penafiel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alverca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alverca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
02.03.25	Leiria - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Penafiel - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Porto B - Penafiel	3:2 ✺
08.02.25	Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Tondela - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
01.03.25	Alverca - Mafra	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Leixões - Alverca	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Alverca - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
09.02.25	Académico de Viseu - Alverca	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Alverca - Leiria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
12.10.24	Alverca - Penafiel	2:2

Upcoming Matches