Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Rodrigues J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV+


	Oliveirense		Alverca

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.25	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.36	3.3	2.29
	3.27	3.22	2.23	Watch
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.25	3.28	2.21	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
29.2%

Draw
28.7%

Alverca
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Oliveirense - Alverca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Augusto A. (G) 68. Klebinho 3. Gabriel Noga 4. Iago Reis 26. Bastos L. 17. Nagata K. 99. Sabino 8. Santos A. (C) 7. Candeias D. 34. Schutte R. 79. Silva J.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 13. Paulo Eduardo 5. Varela F. (C) 36. Thauan Lara 16. Pires M. 40. Ageu E. 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho
Substitutes
25. Casimiro 1. Dabo R. (G) 22. Keating T. 29. Miyata I. 75. Namora N. 56. Schurrle 30. Takahashi T. 11. Veiga T. 70. Ze Manuel	25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 89. Lima J. 11. Luiz Miguel 3. Oliveira A. 35. Pedro Bicalho 74. Shinga K. 23. Silva P. (G) 6. Velazquez S.
Coaches
Filo	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Ageu E. ⚽, Andrezinho (A),
16', 0 - 2, Carter A. ⚽,
33', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 3, Augusto A. (Own goal),
45+9', 1 - 3, Candeias D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Paulo Eduardo ↓, Velazquez S. ↑,
60', Santos A. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
60', Klebinho ↓, Casimiro ↑,
60', Candeias D. ↓, Ze Manuel ↑,
63', Brenner ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
65', Silva J. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
68', Ageu E. 🟨,
73', Martins D. ↓, Dias R. ↑,
74', 1 - 4, Carter A. ⚽,
77', Andrezinho ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
78', Carter A. ↓, Lima J. ↑,
78', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
82', Nagata K. ↓, Miyata I. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).

Oliveirense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alverca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.24	Porto B - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Vizela - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Oliveirense - Portimonense	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Tondela - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Oliveirense - Chaves	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.24	Alverca - Vizela	4:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Alverca - Rio Ave	2:3 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.11.24	Benfica B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Alverca - Feirense	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Torreense - Alverca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

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