Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Alverca		Chaves

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	2.45	3.1	2.95	Watch
	2.6	3.15	3.06
	2.55	3.01	2.94	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.75
	2.49	3.13	2.88
	2.45	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.88)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	2.89 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
37.7%

Draw
30.1%

Chaves
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Alverca - Chaves Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Chaves will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 6. Velazquez S. (C) 5. Varela F. 36. Thauan Lara 16. Pires M. 40. Ageu E. 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner Lucas 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho	1. Vozinha (G) 15. Carraca (C) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 40. Pius J. 5. Romero A. 14. Wilson R. 11. Pelagio P. 23. Gomes R. 20. Ricardo A. 10. Sanca L. 95. Ayongo P.
Substitutes
3. Alysson 25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 4. Iago Mendonca 89. Lima J. 11. Luiz Miguel 35. Pedro Bicalho 74. Shinga K. 23. Silva P. (G)	13. Fernandes V. 99. Jo 12. Ktatau 17. Kusso D. 31. Moura R. (G) 88. Pina R. 8. Pinho P. 29. Platiny 19. Tiago Almeida
Coaches
Costa V.	Alves M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Velazquez S. ⚽, Andrezinho (A),
26', 1 - 1, Ricardo A. ⚽, Sanca L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Carter A. ⚽, David Bruno (A),
59', Ricardo A. ↓, Platiny ↑,
59', Sanca L. ↓, Pina R. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Carter A. ⚽,
73', Gomes R. ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
73', Ayongo P. ↓, Jo ↑,
76', Velazquez S. 🟨,
80', Carter A. ↓, Lima J. ↑,
80', Martins D. ↓, Alysson ↑,
86', Wilson R. ↓, Ktatau ↑,
86', Brenner Lucas ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
89', Andrezinho ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
90+1', Ktatau 🟨,
90+3', Carraca 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4).

Recent matches Alverca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chaves is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.24	Oliveirense - Alverca	1:4 ✺
30.11.24	Alverca - Vizela	4:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Alverca - Rio Ave	2:3 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.11.24	Benfica B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Alverca - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW
- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.24	Chaves - Porto B	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Portimonense - Chaves	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Casa Pia - Chaves	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

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