Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Filipe L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Alverca		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.95
	2.12	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.21	3.28	3.67
	2.48	2.85	3.24	Watch
	2.23	3.26	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.45)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	3.38 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
42.1%

Draw
29.9%

Tondela
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Alverca - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alverca will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gomes A. (G) 4. Naves 5. Gomez S. (C) 33. Meupiyou B. 2. Touaizi N. 21. Abdulai S. 8. Amorim 55. Chissumba 18. Lincoln 9. Marezi 20. Figueiredo	31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto (C) 4. Marques C. 20. Medina B. 60. Maviram E. 32. Rodriguez J. 15. Sithole S. 48. Manso T. 17. Cavaleiro I. 16. Rony Lopes 11. Rodriguez Y.
Substitutes
14. Baseya S. 28. Cabezas G. 22. Esteves G. 6. Gui D. 12. James I. 19. Leite T. 31. Mateus Oliveira (G) 11. Nuozzi C. 91. Sandro Lima	5. Afonso J. 30. Canizares L. (G) 6. Ceitil A. 79. Felix H. 7. Pedro Maranhao 29. Siebatcheu J. 8. Tavares H. 21. Vita R. 67. Yarlen
Coaches
Custodio	Vieira I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', Manso T. (Pen),
44', 1 - 0, Maviram E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Meupiyou B. 🟨,
56', Bebeto 🟨,
57', Manso T. ↓, Vita R. ↑,
57', Maviram E. ↓, Yarlen ↑,
66', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
71', Abdulai S. ↓, Gui D. ↑,
71', Gomez S. ↓, Baseya S. ↑,
71', Rony Lopes ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
79', Sithole S. ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
79', Bebeto ↓, Felix H. ↑,
82', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
85', Lincoln ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
85', Figueiredo ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,

Preview

Alverca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho (Injury) Martinez J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alverca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
31.08.25	Alverca - Benfica	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Estrela da Amadora - Alverca	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Alverca - Braga	0:3 ✺
10.08.25	Moreirense - Alverca	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Alverca - Amora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLW
- CD Tondela
Liga Portugal
31.08.25	Tondela - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Benfica - Tondela	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tondela - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Braga - Tondela	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.25	Leiria - Tondela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.05.25	Tondela - Alverca	1:2
12.01.25	Alverca - Tondela	1:1

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