Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)


	América Mineiro		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.19	3.01	3.29
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.11	3.05	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.25)	3.02 ↑ (2.94)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
42.4%

Draw
30%

Caxias
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+1%)

América Mineiro - Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. William (G) 29. Dalbert (C) 5. Elizari F. 23. Everton Brito 20. Paulo Victor 12. Samuel 77. Segovia M. 44. Thallyson 97. Val Soares 43. Wesley 33. Yago Santos	1. Busatto G. (G) 5. Breno Santos 7. Calyson 2. Felipe Albuquerque 9. Felipe Rangel 3. Ianson 10. Joao Lucas 11. Luis Miguel 8. Matheus Nunes 4. Mauricio Ribeiro (C) 6. Roberto
Substitutes
52. Italo Brito (G) 88. Jhonatan Lima 37. Julio Cesar 62. Oliveira G. 28. Pedro K. 80. Pedro Paranhos 67. Yarlen	21. Arthur Viana 23. Gabriel Toebe (G) 18. Gaspar 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 15. Luis Fernando 14. Mancha 12. Marcelo (G) 20. Salatiel 16. Victor Sa 17. Vitor Feijao 13. Windson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Yago Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Felipe Rangel ↓, Salatiel ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Val Soares ⚽,
59', Dalbert 🟨,
61', Luis Miguel ↓, Gaspar ↑,
64', Segovia M. ↓, Yarlen ↑,
66', Breno Santos 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Gaspar ⚽,
79', Dalbert ↓, Pedro Paranhos ↑,
79', Yago Santos ↓, Oliveira G. ↑,
79', Breno Santos ↓, Luis Fernando ↑,
79', Calyson ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
84', Paulo Victor ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
84', Everton Brito ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
85', Joao Lucas ↓, Mancha ↑,
90+7', 1 - 2, Felipe Albuquerque ⚽,
90+9', Yarlen 🟨,

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Caxias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Caxias has had a series of home games.

América MG could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
25.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Goiás - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - América Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
04.03.26	América Mineiro - Tirol	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.03.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWL
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
24.03.26	Caxias - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.26	Caxias - São Luiz	0:2 penalties ✺
16.02.26	São Luiz - Caxias	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Caxias - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL

Upcoming Matches