The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 56.8%
Draw 26.4%
Ferroviária 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
25.7%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
24.5%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
América Mineiro - Ferroviária Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Mendes (G) 23. Mariano 6. Marlon 88. Cauan Barros 18. Julio Cesar 3. Lucao (C) 42. Miqueias 17. Stenio 9. Willian Bigode 5. Elizari F. 22. Figueiredo
41. Denis Junior (G) 7. Kevin 13. Gustavo Medina 22. Ronaldo Alves (C) 14. Eric Melo 37. Thiago Lopes 35. Netinho 5. Ricardinho 39. Thayllon 92. Carlao 20. Albano
Substitutes
39. Arthur Sousa 8. Felipe Amaral 30. Gustavinho 21. Jhosefer 12. Jori (G) 15. Kaua Diniz 29. Paulinho 4. Pedro Barcelos 14. Rafa Barcelos 71. Samuel 33. Yago Santos 40. Yago Souza
8. Alencar 66. Edson Lucas 25. Ian Luccas 70. Igor Bolt 43. Joao Ramos 77. Juninho 1. Leo Wall (G) 99. Quirino 29. Tarik 11. Vitor Barreto 57. Wesley Pomba
Coaches
Moreira E.
Vinicius Bergantin
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Mariano 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Stenio ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
44', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Stenio 🟨,
49', Thiago Lopes 🟨,
61', Thayllon ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
63', Elizari F. ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
63', Stenio ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Vitor Barreto ⚽, Eric Melo (A),
74', Eric Melo 🟨,
74', Thiago Lopes ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
75', Albano ↓, Juninho ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Carlao ⚽, Juninho (A),
83', Marlon ↓, Paulinho ↑,
83', Miqueias ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
84', Vitor Barreto ↓, Alencar ↑,
84', Carlao ↓, Quirino ↑,
90+2', Quirino 🟥,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Lucas Rodrigues
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Ferroviária: Gustavo Medina
(Inactive)
Tarik
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Including home match between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Brazil
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Matheus Mendes (G) 
Elizari F. 
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