The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 39.4%
Draw 30.6%
Vila Nova 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
28.5%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.4%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
América Mineiro - Vila Nova Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 22. Leo Alaba 3. Nathan Pelae 4. Rafa Barcelos 96. Artur (C) 8. Felipe Amaral 77. Segovia M. 16. Ale 5. Elizari F. 23. Everton Brito 17. Gonzalo Mastriani
1. Helton Leite (G) 15. Dudu 3. Tiago Pagnussat 14. Anderson Jesus 6. Higor (C) 8. Willian Maranhao 5. Joao Vieira 99. Janderson 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 11. Ryan 9. Gustavo Puskas
Substitutes
29. Dalbert 2. Emerson Santos 7. Gabriel Barros 55. Goncalves O. 88. Jhonatan Lima 42. Jhonny 11. Thauan 97. Val Soares 19. William (G) 9. Willian Bigode 10. Yago Souza 67. Yarlen
7. Andre Luis 33. Bruno Xavier 38. Caio Marcelo 29. Dalberson (G) 31. Dodo 2. Elias 18. Enzo Bizzotto 22. Hayner 20. Nathan Camargo 4. Samuel Lucas 13. Willian Formiga
Coaches
Roger Silva
Guto Ferreira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Nathan Pelae ⚽, Segovia M. (A),
35', Nathan Pelae 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Felipe Amaral ↓, Val Soares ↑,
58', Val Soares 🟨,
61', Dudu ↓, Nathan Camargo ↑,
61', Gustavo Puskas ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
66', Anderson Jesus 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Ryan ⚽, Janderson (A),
71', Segovia M. ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
72', Elizari F. ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Janderson ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
78', Joao Vieira ↓, Elias ↑,
82', Everton Brito ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
82', Ale ↓, Thauan ↑,
86', Ryan ↓, Hayner ↑,
86', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
90+2', Andre Luis 🟨,
90+2', Leo Alaba 🟨,
90+3', Elias 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.
Recent form of América MG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vila Nova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
América MG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in América MG: Cassio Meneses
(Inactive)
Gabriel Barros
(Inactive)
Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
Val Soares
(Inactive)
There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Pedro Romano
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in América MG: Dorna K.
(Inactive)
Felipe Amaral
(Injury)
Heitor
(Inactive)
Wesley
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Vila Nova: Hayner
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, América MG won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Vila Nova FC: 22.07%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Vila Nova FC
32
17
7
8
44:31
13
58
19
America MG ✔
32
4
5
23
21:53
-32
17
Last Results with these Odds
Vila Nova - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.68%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Watch
#ad
Gustavo (G) 
Segovia M. 
Elizari F. 
Gonzalo Mastriani 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
