The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América RN 57.8%
Draw 25.7%
Ferroviário Fortaleza 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
28.1%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
27.7%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América RN's performance.
Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América RN that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviário Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
América RN - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América RN (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Davi Gabriel ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
75', 1 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Salatiel ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Kiuan ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Henrique ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Ferroviário may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, América RN is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, América RN won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.