The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amarante 49%
Draw 28%
1 Dezembro 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
29.8%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
28.4%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Amarante aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Amarante - 1 Dezembro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
65. Figueiredo D. (G) 5. Guedes R. 4. Filipe J. (C) 6. Daniel Alves 99. Bright 8. Helder Pedro 18. Okoli F. 80. Dinho 12. Zangre A. 17. Filipe R. 10. Ka
1. Oliveira G. (G) 13. Bernardo J. 2. Cesinha 26. Freitas J. 32. Ramos P. 23. Lisandro Menezes (C) 19. Valente A. 6. Santos T. 11. Batalha R. 30. Aguas G. 99. Pedro Clemente
Substitutes
88. Aguiar E. 30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 9. Cardoso F. 13. Flores R. (G) 42. Iroanya E. 16. Leandro M. 7. Sousa C. 70. Zakari B.
10. Araujo J. 79. Cardoso D. 9. Dener 12. Duarte F. (G) 3. Ebube 21. Isaac 20. Silva R. 5. Sousa A. 77. Teixeira T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Ka ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Pedro Clemente ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Dinho ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
63', Helder Pedro ↓, Sousa C. ↑,
70', Cesinha 🟨,
77', Batalha R. ↓, Ebube ↑,
77', Lisandro Menezes ↓, Isaac ↑,
80', Bright 🟨,
84', 🟨,
85', Ka ↓, Cardoso F. ↑,
89', Daniel Alves ↓, Leandro M. ↑,
89', Okoli F. ↓, Aguiar E. ↑,
Preview
Recent matches Amarante is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
1 Dezembro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Amarante is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Amarante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2