Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Amazonas		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.37	2.87	3
	2.45	2.95	3.1
	2.59	2.98	3.03
	2.47	2.9	3.17	Watch
	2.4	3	3
	2.38	3.08	3.13	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.54)	2.95 ↓ (3.13)	3.1 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
38.3%

Draw
31.6%

Ceará
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Amazonas - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcao (G) 2. Ezequiel 4. Miranda 14. Ivan Alvarino 6. Fabiano 5. Jorge Jimenez 7. Erick Varao 8. Diego Torres 27. Enio 9. Luan Silva 11. Matheus Serafim	1. Richard (G) 6. Ramos R. 42. Matheus Felipe 4. David Ricardo 79. Matheus Bahia 8. De Lucca 26. Richardson 10. Lucas Mugni 11. Aylon 73. Saulo Mineiro 16. Erick Pulga
Substitutes
21. Cocote 23. Dentinho 1. Fabian Volpi (G) 25. Gustavo Ermel 26. Igor Bolt 20. Para 10. Rafael Tavares 99. Sassa 16. Sidcley 13. Tiago Cameta 3. Wellington Manzoli 19. William Barbio	98. Andrey 31. Barcelo F. 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 7. Castro F. 14. Eric 5. Jean Irmer 3. Joao Pedro 77. Lucas Rian 2. Rai Ramos 28. Recalde J. 70. Talisson
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Erick Varao ⚽, Matheus Serafim (A),
25', Enio 🟨,
36', Miranda 🟨,
41', Erick Pulga 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
67', Richardson ↓, Andrey ↑,
68', Diego Torres ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
68', Luan Silva ↓, Sassa ↑,
73', Miranda 🟨,
74', Enio ↓, Wellington Manzoli ↑,
83', De Lucca ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
83', Saulo Mineiro ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Recalde J. ⚽,
90+1', Matheus Serafim ↓, Para ↑,
90+1', Erick Varao ↓, William Barbio ↑,
90+4', Sassa 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).

Amazonas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ceará is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amazonas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Injury) Lourenco (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amazonas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
24.08.24	Santos - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	Amazonas - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Sport Recife - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
03.08.24	Amazonas - Ituano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWLW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
26.08.24	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
21.08.24	CRB Maceio - Ceará	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Ceará - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Goiás - Ceará	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Ceará - Guarani	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.05.24	Ceará - Amazonas	2:1

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