Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 23

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Santos		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.8	7.5	Watch
	1.46	3.75	7
	1.47	4	7
	1.49	4.02	7.88
	1.5	3.82	7.3	Watch
	1.44	3.9	7.5
	1.49	3.92	7.2	Watch
	1.47	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)	3.9 ↓ (4.11)	7.3 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
63.3%

Draw
23.9%

Amazonas
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

22.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

23.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santos - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 32. Jair 4. Gil (C) 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 23. Sandry 20. Giuliano 22. Otero R. 19. Wendell 11. Guilherme	12. Marcao (G) 2. Ezequiel 4. Miranda 14. Ivan Alvarino 6. Fabiano (C) 5. Jorge Jimenez 18. Cauan Barros 8. Diego Torres 22. Enio 9. Luan Silva 11. Matheus Serafim
Substitutes
2. Alex Nascimento 25. Alison Lopes 81. Arce B. 21. Diego Pituca 12. Diogenes (G) 9. Furch J. 15. Joao Basso 88. Patrick 8. Rincon T. 37. Serginho 33. Souza 42. Weslley Patati	23. Cocote 7. Erick Varao 1. Fabian Volpi (G) 17. Gustavo Ermel 20. Para 10. Rafael Tavares 99. Sassa 16. Sidcley 13. Tiago Cameta 21. Uchuari J. 3. Wellington Manzoli 19. William Barbio
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Rafael Lacerda

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,
18', Giuliano 🟨,
41', Sandry 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
59', Escobar G. 🟥,
63', Sandry ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
63', Giuliano ↓, Souza ↑,
63', Otero R. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
64', Enio ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
73', Fabiano ↓, Sidcley ↑,
73', Diego Torres ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
74', Wendell ↓, Furch J. ↑,
77', Miranda 🟨,
81', Sidcley 🟨,
83', Cauan Barros 🟨,
85', Luan Silva ↓, Sassa ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 11).

Recent matches Santos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amazonas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amazonas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Amazonas have a series of home games.

In this match Santos is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Injury) Giuliano (Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.24	Guarani - Santos	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Santos - Avaí	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Paysandu - Santos	0:3 ✺
02.08.24	Santos - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	CRB Maceio - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWTT
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
20.08.24	Amazonas - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Sport Recife - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
03.08.24	Amazonas - Ituano	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Amazonas - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.05.24	Amazonas - Santos	1:0

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