Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Tubi TV
World	Fanatiz


	Metz		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5	Watch
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.72	3.5	5
	1.74	3.61	5.35
	1.76	3.57	4.63	Watch
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.74	3.62	4.96	Watch
	1.72	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	3.56 ↓ (3.76)	4.99 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN La Liga

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Metz
54.7%

Draw
26.5%

Amiens
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.2%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Metz - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Oukidja A. (G) 38. Sane S. 8. Traore I. (C) 5. Cande F. 39. Kouao K. 20. Deminguet J. 7. Hein G. 10. Diallo P. A. 36. Jallow A. 21. Stambouli B. 14. Sabaly C.	1. Gurtner R. (G) 34. Bakayoko S. 2. Fofana M. 13. Jaouab M. 7. Leautey A. 29. Boya F. 25. Gene O. 19. Vita R. 10. Kandil N. 9. Mafouta L. 14. Corchia S.
Substitutes
99. Asoro J. 2. Colin M. 31. Elisor S. 15. Lo A. 6. Nduquidi J. 9. Sane I. 61. Sy P. (G)	17. Chibozo A. 22. Dao E. 45. Fofana I. 20. Kaiboue K. 27. Lutin R. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 5. Urhoghide O.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Hein G. ⚽, Cande F. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Sabaly C. ⚽,
29', Kouao K. 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Hein G. ⚽, Stambouli B. (A),
45+2', 3 - 1, Leautey A. ⚽, Mafouta L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jaouab M. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
46', Boya F. ↓, Kaiboue K. ↑,
49', Hein G. 🟨,
56', Corchia S. 🟨,
74', Stambouli B. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Kaiboue K. ⚽, Corchia S. (A),
85', Lutin R. 🟨,
86', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
86', Jallow A. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
87', Gene O. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
90+3', Kouao K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
90+3', Kandil N. ↓, Dao E. ↑,
90+3', Sane I. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Amiens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

There are questionable in Amiens: Ikia Dimi Y. J. (Knock) Touho M. (Knock)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Metz won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
28.09.24	Troyes - Metz	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Metz - Martigues	6:0 ✺
21.09.24	Metz - Lorient	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Paris FC - Metz	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Metz - Laval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWT
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
27.09.24	Amiens - Rodez	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Caen - Amiens	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Amiens - Clermont	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Annecy - Amiens	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Amiens - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.23	Amiens - Metz	0:0
French Ligue 2
06.02.23	Amiens - Metz	0:2
30.07.22	Metz - Amiens	3:0
Coupe De France
10.02.21	Amiens - Metz	1:2
French Ligue 1
29.02.20	Amiens - Metz	0:1
21.09.19	Metz - Amiens	1:2
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Metz - Amiens	1:1

Upcoming Matches