Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.25
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.1	2.95	2.23
	3.15	3.22	2.29
	3.1	3.12	2.25	Watch
	3.11	3.14	2.26
	3.1	2.95	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.72)	3.07 ↑ (2.96)	2.24 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
29.4%

Draw
29.8%

Arenteiro
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Amorebieta - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (C) 2. Carbonell A. 22. Yuste A. 4. Kortazar M. 23. Calavera J. 11. Hervias P. 18. Coulibaly A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 17. Munoz I. 9. Kaxe 7. Selma D.	1. Lopez A. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 5. Borge A. 6. Prendes M. 2. lano Imbene 17. Pascu 19. Aguado T. 14. Cruz A. 18. Rodriguez E. 21. Baselga M. 7. Ferreiro D.
Substitutes
5. Amelibia J. 10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 3. Camacho S. 13. Campos G. (G) 21. Marin A. 16. Masllorens J. 12. Sola J. 8. Vicandi A.	24. Fernandez L. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 16. Rivelott Curro 8. Solar M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Cruz A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Kaxe ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cruz A. ↓, Rivelott Curro ↑,
61', Borge A. ↓, Solar M. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Selma D. ⚽,
65', Munoz I. ↓, Masllorens J. ↑,
65', Coulibaly A. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Selma D. ⚽,
71', Prendes M. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
73', Rivelott Curro 🟨,
81', Kaxe ↓, Marin A. ↑,
81', Hervias P. ↓, Sola J. ↑,
83', Kortazar M. 🟨,
87', Carbonell A. ↓, Amelibia J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Amorebieta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arenteiro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arenteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arenteiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.01.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Amorebieta - Tarazona	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
22.12.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Amorebieta - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTLLT
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
10.01.25	Arenteiro - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
22.12.24	Zamora - Arenteiro	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Sestao - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.11.24	Arenteiro - Amorebieta	1:1

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