Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Eldense		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.7	2.25	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.75	3.55	2.36	Watch
	2.83	3.65	2.38
	2.96	3.69	2.27	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	2.9	3.72	2.28	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.17)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	2.31 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
33.3%

Draw
26%

Racing Santander
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Eldense - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Racing will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing (1.89) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eldense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Eldense (votes: 4 - 50%). Racing (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 4. Dumic D. 24. Timor D. 3. Martos I. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 12. Diawara A. 10. Llabres J. 22. Gassama S. 25. Collado D.	13. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 40. Garcia M. 23. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 8. Aldasoro A. 15. Sangalli M. 11. Martin A. 16. Gonzalez R. 19. Karrikaburu J.
Substitutes
36. Aceves A. (G) 21. Bernal A. 7. Bouzaidi S. 20. Chapela I. 19. Fede 13. Mackay I. (G) 28. Mendez D. 14. Monsalve N. 2. Parra R. 9. Quintana Nacho	9. Arana J. 3. Garcia S. 12. Gueye M. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 18. Manu 24. Montero J. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 22. Rodriguez P. 21. Vencedor U. 10. Vicente I. 14. Zenitagoia E.
Coaches
Oltra J.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Timor D. 🟨,
11', Mantilla A. 🟨,
12', Lopez J. 🟨,
15', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Dumic D. ⚽,
31', Martos I. 🟨,
36', Llabres J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Karrikaburu J. ⚽, Aldasoro A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', Gassama S. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Collado D. ⚽, Martos I. (A),
64', Timor D. ↓, Monsalve N. ↑,
65', Aldasoro A. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
65', Gonzalez R. ↓, Vicente I. ↑,
65', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
75', Collado D. ↓, Mendez D. ↑,
75', Llabres J. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
80', Gamez F. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Martin A. (Pen),
83', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
86', Sangalli M. 🟨,
87', Gamez F. ↓, Fede ↑,
89', Martos I. ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 3, Arana J. ⚽,
90+9', Michelin C. ↓, Vencedor U. ↑,
90+12', Martin A. ↓, Zenitagoia E. ↑,
90+14', 3 - 3, Chapela I. ⚽,
90+16', Diawara A. 🟨,
90+16', Bouzaidi S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Eldense: Barzic M. (Injury) Masca (Injury) Mateu M. (Injury) Pina (Injury) Ropero U. (Inactive)

There will not play in Racing: Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.25	Castellón - Eldense	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Eldense - Málaga	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Almería - Eldense	5:0 ✺
26.04.25	Eldense - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ferrol - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLTL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Racing Santander - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Cartagena - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Racing Santander - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Huesca - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:2
24.03.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:1
16.12.23	Eldense - Racing Santander	3:3

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