Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31Date: 11 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | Footballclub |
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 |
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 |
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Amorebieta |
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Gernika |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.28 |
2.88 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.43 |
2.82 |
3.28 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.85 |
3.22 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
2.63 |
3 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.99 |
2.91 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(1.79) |
2.83 ↓
(3.3) |
3.1 ↓
(4.46) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Amorebieta
38% | Draw
32.4% | Gernika
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gernika's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gernika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Amorebieta - Gernika Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Arberas X. 🟥,
- 41', 1 - 0, Arzalluz M. ⚽,
- 45', San Nicolas G. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 1, Torrontegui H. ⚽,
- 69', Entreca J. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Gutierrez I. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 1.Amorebieta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gernika has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Amorebieta is considered a favorite.We predict that Amorebieta will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Amorebieta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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