Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Amorebieta		Girona

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.37	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.35	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3	2.33
	3.43	3.04	2.46
	3.1	3	2.35	Watch
	3.24	3.18	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.28)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	2.32 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
29.1%

Draw
30.5%

Girona
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

20%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Girona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Amorebieta - Girona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Amorebieta has the most likely position - 21 (21.36%), has project points - 42, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Girona has the most likely position - 4 (13.6%), has project points - 66, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Amorebieta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Girona is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Girona have a series of home games.

Girona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
23.01.22	Sporting de Gijón - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
07.01.22	Amorebieta - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
31.12.21	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
19.12.21	Ponferradina - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.21	Amorebieta - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTTTL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
23.01.22	Girona - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.22	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
09.01.22	Girona - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Girona - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Huesca - Girona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.08.21	Girona - Amorebieta	2:0

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